Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent polling averages of 32-34%—far ahead of GERB-SDS at 21% and PP-DB at 11%—as shown in recent Gallup International and Sova Harris surveys through early April. This dominance stems from the eighth election in five years amid political deadlock, with PB capitalizing on anti-corruption appeals and frustration with established parties amid high poverty and emigration concerns. Radev's lead widened in the latest polls, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on no major upset. Realistic challenges include a late turnout surge for rivals, unforeseen scandals, or polling discrepancies, though historical snap election patterns favor frontrunners. Post-election coalition negotiations will determine government formation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
PB 99.6%
PP–DB <1%
GERB–SDS <1%
DPS <1%
$262,059 Hac.
$262,059 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
100%
PP–DB
<1%
GERB–SDS
<1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 99.6%
PP–DB <1%
GERB–SDS <1%
DPS <1%
$262,059 Hac.
$262,059 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
$95,882 Hac.
100%
PP–DB
$37,082 Hac.
<1%
GERB–SDS
$41,711 Hac.
<1%
DPS
$6,862 Hac.
<1%
ITN
$13,889 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$17,766 Hac.
<1%
APS
$14,298 Hac.
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
$9,898 Hac.
<1%
MECH
$13,144 Hac.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$11,543 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent polling averages of 32-34%—far ahead of GERB-SDS at 21% and PP-DB at 11%—as shown in recent Gallup International and Sova Harris surveys through early April. This dominance stems from the eighth election in five years amid political deadlock, with PB capitalizing on anti-corruption appeals and frustration with established parties amid high poverty and emigration concerns. Radev's lead widened in the latest polls, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on no major upset. Realistic challenges include a late turnout surge for rivals, unforeseen scandals, or polling discrepancies, though historical snap election patterns favor frontrunners. Post-election coalition negotiations will determine government formation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Hacim
$262,059Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent polling averages of 32-34%—far ahead of GERB-SDS at 21% and PP-DB at 11%—as shown in recent Gallup International and Sova Harris surveys through early April. This dominance stems from the eighth election in five years amid political deadlock, with PB capitalizing on anti-corruption appeals and frustration with established parties amid high poverty and emigration concerns. Radev's lead widened in the latest polls, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on no major upset. Realistic challenges include a late turnout surge for rivals, unforeseen scandals, or polling discrepancies, though historical snap election patterns favor frontrunners. Post-election coalition negotiations will determine government formation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$262,059Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, driven by consistent polling averages of 32-34%—far ahead of GERB-SDS at 21% and PP-DB at 11%—as shown in recent Gallup International and Sova Harris surveys through early April. This dominance stems from the eighth election in five years amid political deadlock, with PB capitalizing on anti-corruption appeals and frustration with established parties amid high poverty and emigration concerns. Radev's lead widened in the latest polls, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on no major upset. Realistic challenges include a late turnout surge for rivals, unforeseen scandals, or polling discrepancies, though historical snap election patterns favor frontrunners. Post-election coalition negotiations will determine government formation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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