Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJay Feely 70%
Joseph Chaplik 13.6%
John Trobough 6.9%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$347,554 Hac.
$347,554 Hac.
4 Ağu 2026
Jay Feely
70%
Joseph Chaplik
8%
John Trobough
7%
Todd Graham
6%
Gina Swoboda
4%
Jason Duey
3%
Mark Brnovich
2%
Kari Lake
1%
Matt Gress
1%
Derrick Gallego
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jay Feely 70%
Joseph Chaplik 13.6%
John Trobough 6.9%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$347,554 Hac.
$347,554 Hac.
4 Ağu 2026
Jay Feely
$4,794 Hac.
70%
Joseph Chaplik
$8,148 Hac.
8%
John Trobough
$3,236 Hac.
7%
Todd Graham
$7,582 Hac.
6%
Gina Swoboda
$4,187 Hac.
4%
Jason Duey
$0 Hac.
3%
Mark Brnovich
$16,503 Hac.
2%
Kari Lake
$6,398 Hac.
1%
Matt Gress
$47,835 Hac.
1%
Derrick Gallego
$3,520 Hac.
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
$8,235 Hac.
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$4,321 Hac.
<1%
Paul Reevs
$222,106 Hac.
<1%
Brandon Sowers
$10,688 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Hacim
$347,554Bitiş Tarihi
4 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$347,554Bitiş Tarihi
4 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 71% implied probability in the crowded AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his early Trump endorsement in January and dominant Q1 fundraising of over $740,000 announced April 10—all from contributions, signaling strong donor support in this toss-up district opened by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial run. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik and business executive John Trobough trail at 8% and 7%, respectively, amid a fragmented field lacking public polls; Feely's name recognition and momentum from events like a recent RFK Jr. rally bolster his frontrunner status, though additional endorsements or spending could shift odds before early voting begins in June.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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