Record primary turnout in recent state contests, including Democratic early voting highs in Texas surpassing past midterms and strong Latino engagement in South Texas as of early March, has fueled trader consensus for elevated 2026 House turnout around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million amid sustained post-2024 polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 20-25% across top bins due to historical midterm dips from presidential-year peaks, uncertain voter enthusiasm under President Trump's second term, and early generic ballot polls showing narrow Democratic leads. Separation could emerge from summer primaries in battleground states, economic indicators like inflation trends, party mobilization efforts, or shifts in swing-state polling averages ahead of November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
25%
130m+
6%
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
<85m
$319 Hac.
4%
85-90m
$419 Hac.
9%
90-95m
$831 Hac.
<1%
95-100m
$269 Hac.
3%
100-105m
$631 Hac.
6%
105-110m
$431 Hac.
13%
110-115m
$440 Hac.
15%
115-120m
$1,020 Hac.
18%
120-125m
$371 Hac.
14%
125-130m
$1,158 Hac.
25%
130m+
$245 Hac.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Record primary turnout in recent state contests, including Democratic early voting highs in Texas surpassing past midterms and strong Latino engagement in South Texas as of early March, has fueled trader consensus for elevated 2026 House turnout around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million amid sustained post-2024 polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 20-25% across top bins due to historical midterm dips from presidential-year peaks, uncertain voter enthusiasm under President Trump's second term, and early generic ballot polls showing narrow Democratic leads. Separation could emerge from summer primaries in battleground states, economic indicators like inflation trends, party mobilization efforts, or shifts in swing-state polling averages ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Hacim
$6,132Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Record primary turnout in recent state contests, including Democratic early voting highs in Texas surpassing past midterms and strong Latino engagement in South Texas as of early March, has fueled trader consensus for elevated 2026 House turnout around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million amid sustained post-2024 polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 20-25% across top bins due to historical midterm dips from presidential-year peaks, uncertain voter enthusiasm under President Trump's second term, and early generic ballot polls showing narrow Democratic leads. Separation could emerge from summer primaries in battleground states, economic indicators like inflation trends, party mobilization efforts, or shifts in swing-state polling averages ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Hacim
$6,132Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record primary turnout in recent state contests, including Democratic early voting highs in Texas surpassing past midterms and strong Latino engagement in South Texas as of early March, has fueled trader consensus for elevated 2026 House turnout around 115-130 million votes, exceeding 2022's 111 million amid sustained post-2024 polarization. Yet probabilities remain tightly clustered at 20-25% across top bins due to historical midterm dips from presidential-year peaks, uncertain voter enthusiasm under President Trump's second term, and early generic ballot polls showing narrow Democratic leads. Separation could emerge from summer primaries in battleground states, economic indicators like inflation trends, party mobilization efforts, or shifts in swing-state polling averages ahead of November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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