Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to secure the most wins among Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races in the March 22 subnational elections, driven by its first-round victories in Pando and strong advancement in Santa Cruz—home to the largest electorate—where candidate Juan Pablo Velasco led at 29.9%. Fragmentation within the former ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP), now at just 2.5% amid its 2025 presidential defeat and Arce-Morales schism, has opened space for opposition alliances, elevating regional contenders like Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) in Cochabamba runoffs and Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) in La Paz and Beni. No party dominated the fragmented first round, with six departments heading to second-round balotaje; ongoing official computations and potential recounts keep probabilities fluid ahead of full resolution by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
Popular Alliance (AP) 0
$981 Hac.
$981 Hac.
22 Mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
2%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
51%
Popular Alliance (AP)
45%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
34%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
41%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
Popular Alliance (AP) 0
$981 Hac.
$981 Hac.
22 Mar 2026
Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
$297 Hac.
23%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
$328 Hac.
2%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
$147 Hac.
51%
Popular Alliance (AP)
$0 Hac.
45%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
$0 Hac.
34%
Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
$210 Hac.
41%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to secure the most wins among Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races in the March 22 subnational elections, driven by its first-round victories in Pando and strong advancement in Santa Cruz—home to the largest electorate—where candidate Juan Pablo Velasco led at 29.9%. Fragmentation within the former ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP), now at just 2.5% amid its 2025 presidential defeat and Arce-Morales schism, has opened space for opposition alliances, elevating regional contenders like Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) in Cochabamba runoffs and Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) in La Paz and Beni. No party dominated the fragmented first round, with six departments heading to second-round balotaje; ongoing official computations and potential recounts keep probabilities fluid ahead of full resolution by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Hacim
$981Bitiş Tarihi
22 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to secure the most wins among Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races in the March 22 subnational elections, driven by its first-round victories in Pando and strong advancement in Santa Cruz—home to the largest electorate—where candidate Juan Pablo Velasco led at 29.9%. Fragmentation within the former ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP), now at just 2.5% amid its 2025 presidential defeat and Arce-Morales schism, has opened space for opposition alliances, elevating regional contenders like Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) in Cochabamba runoffs and Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) in La Paz and Beni. No party dominated the fragmented first round, with six departments heading to second-round balotaje; ongoing official computations and potential recounts keep probabilities fluid ahead of full resolution by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Hacim
$981Bitiş Tarihi
22 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 47.5% to secure the most wins among Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races in the March 22 subnational elections, driven by its first-round victories in Pando and strong advancement in Santa Cruz—home to the largest electorate—where candidate Juan Pablo Velasco led at 29.9%. Fragmentation within the former ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP), now at just 2.5% amid its 2025 presidential defeat and Arce-Morales schism, has opened space for opposition alliances, elevating regional contenders like Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) in Cochabamba runoffs and Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) in La Paz and Beni. No party dominated the fragmented first round, with six departments heading to second-round balotaje; ongoing official computations and potential recounts keep probabilities fluid ahead of full resolution by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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