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luish

Sumali May 2024·323 mga view

focus on geopolitics and tech

$3,196.49

Halaga ng mga Posisyon

$455.01

Pinakamalaking Panalo

194

Mga Prediksiyon

Kita/Lugi

$99.11
Polymarket

Nakaraang Araw

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 83¢
1,851.0 mga shares
$1,508.38-$28.49 (-1.85%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

No 73.1¢
413.6 mga shares
$343.25$41.05 (13.58%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 62.9¢
200.0 mga shares
$156.00$30.11 (23.92%)
icon for Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

No 80¢
187.8 mga shares
$148.39-$1.88 (-1.25%)
icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

No 68.6¢
166.0 mga shares
$144.38$30.52 (26.8%)
icon for Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Yes 40.9¢
268.5 mga shares
$111.42$1.49 (1.36%)
icon for Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 85¢
100.0 mga shares
$90.75$5.75 (6.76%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

No 36.1¢
109.9 mga shares
$77.46$37.80 (95.3%)
icon for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 67¢
100.0 mga shares
$68.50$1.50 (2.24%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

No 73.7¢
100.0 mga shares
$66.00-$7.70 (-10.45%)
icon for UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

No 67.1¢
82.3 mga shares
$56.37$1.13 (2.04%)
icon for Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 88¢
41.8 mga shares
$40.23$3.45 (9.37%)
icon for Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 40¢
71.1 mga shares
$39.48$11.02 (38.75%)
icon for Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4¢
40.0 mga shares
$39.32$0.76 (1.97%)
icon for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 62¢
40.5 mga shares
$29.95$4.86 (19.35%)
icon for USDS depeg by December 31?

USDS depeg by December 31?

No 76.8¢
24.4 mga shares
$20.51$1.75 (9.35%)
icon for Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

No 92¢
15.7 mga shares
$14.38-$0.09 (-0.65%)
icon for Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?

Yes 79¢
7.5 mga shares
$6.65$0.71 (12.02%)