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Pamahalaan Ng US mga prediksiyon at odds

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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$99.4K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

85%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$316K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by...?

59%

June 30

$1.7K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

19%

April 21

$5M Vol.

$343K today

$39.2K Liq.

135

Ends in 1 day

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

30%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$325K today

$405K Liq.

81

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

17%

April 21

$951K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

30

Ends in 1 day

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

12%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$315K Liq.

69

Ends in 9 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

32%

7

$981K Vol.

$138K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$536K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

3%

April 30

$457K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

96

Ends in 11 days

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

12%

$63.8K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

US announces military support of Kurds by...?

3%

April 30

$609K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

65

Ends in 11 days

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

15%

$16.1K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

23%

$28.0K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

11%

$20.4K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

11%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

78%

June 30

$29M Vol.

$417K today

$371K Liq.

656

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

76%

May 31

$3M Vol.

$379K today

$107K Liq.

113

Ends in 11 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

47%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$2M Vol.

$123K today

$68.9K Liq.

84

Ends in 11 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$562K Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

59

Ends in 2 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Pamahalaan Ng US.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 283 aktibong markets para sa Pamahalaan Ng US na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $54.9M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 78% na tsansa sa June 30. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Pamahalaan Ng US predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.