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Hormuz mga prediksiyon at odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

22%

$17M Vol.

$2M today

$586K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

76%

May 31

$3M Vol.

$379K today

$107K Liq.

113

Ends in 11 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

60%

20+

$769K Vol.

$120K today

$44.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

62%

$1M Vol.

$112K today

$101K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

79%

$157K Vol.

$82.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

29%

50-59

$117K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 20-26)

26%

150+

$9.3K Vol.

$67.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

5%

$125K Vol.

$58.7K today

$107K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

18%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

167

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

29%

$171K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

45

Ends in 11 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

8%

United Kingdom

$3M Vol.

$217K Liq.

136

Ends in 11 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

69%

8-11

$30.0K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

32%

0-10

$124K Vol.

$82.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

17%

April 21

$951K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

30

Ends in 1 day

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

77%

Nothing

$47.0K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

4%

$97.6K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 11 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

47%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$2M Vol.

$123K today

$67.2K Liq.

84

Ends in 11 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

17%

June 30

$29M Vol.

$1M today

$358K Liq.

350

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$53.4K today

$60.3K Liq.

79

Ends in 11 days

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

8%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Hormuz.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 124 aktibong markets para sa Hormuz na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $65.4M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 17% na tsansa sa June 30. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Hormuz predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.