President Trump's recent Truth Social post floating a "Trump Strait" label for the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran clashes prompted brief attention, yet he quickly described the idea as unserious and "just thrown out there." Similar executive actions have altered U.S. domestic map references for the Gulf of Mexico and Lake Ontario, but the Hormuz waterway remains an internationally recognized chokepoint subject to contested claims, naval operations, and shipping data showing sharply reduced traffic. Traders assign a 95.5% probability against formal renaming by December 31 due to the absence of binding U.S. authority over foreign geography, limited international recognition, and the short timeline. A late executive order or negotiated diplomatic concession could still shift the outcome before year-end.