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Exit Poll mga prediksiyon at odds

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

14%

December 31

$51M Vol.

$534K today

$3M Liq.

1,517

Ends in 7 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$785K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

14

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

93%

Fujimori 0–4%

$966K Vol.

$76.4K today

$260K Liq.

24

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

38%

Fujimori 0.3–0.4%

$288K Vol.

$257K today

$262K Liq.

9

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

47%

Likud

$14.8K Vol.

$69.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$102K Vol.

$52.1K Liq.

6

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.8K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

48%

76-78%

$608 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

39%

Burnham 9%+

$19.8K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

26%

$105K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

2%

$42.6K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 20 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

37%

Lula da Silva <5%

$239K Vol.

$85.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 4 months

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$192K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

6

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

50%

53-56%

$574 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

96%

70–75%

$69.6K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

2

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

30%

AS

$84.7K Vol.

$76.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 4 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

46%

Labour 15%+

$627 Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

5%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$180K Liq.

70

Ends in 7 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$188K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

47%

Labour

$88 Vol.

$132 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Exit Poll.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 104 aktibong markets para sa Exit Poll na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $60.7M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 14% na tsansa sa December 31. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Exit Poll predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.