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World Cup Winner

icon for World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

France 18.4%

Spain 13.7%

England 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,661,737,723 Vol.

France 18.4%

Spain 13.7%

England 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,661,737,723 Vol.

icon for France

France

$61,411,440 Vol.

18%

icon for Spain

Spain

$53,815,297 Vol.

14%

icon for England

England

$46,422,364 Vol.

13%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$60,785,891 Vol.

12%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$55,975,960 Vol.

7%

icon for Brazil

Brazil

$44,445,126 Vol.

7%

icon for Germany

Germany

$54,299,148 Vol.

6%

icon for Netherlands

Netherlands

$53,636,111 Vol.

4%

icon for Norway

Norway

$55,403,011 Vol.

3%

icon for USA

USA

$79,298,540 Vol.

2%

icon for Morocco

Morocco

$61,115,484 Vol.

2%

icon for Colombia

Colombia

$57,129,070 Vol.

2%

icon for Japan

Japan

$58,776,544 Vol.

2%

icon for Mexico

Mexico

$75,872,453 Vol.

2%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$57,783,380 Vol.

2%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$56,882,736 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$53,484,416 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$63,409,412 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$59,540,729 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$48,455,735 Vol.

1%

icon for Turkiye

Turkiye

$57,460,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ecuador

Ecuador

$60,093,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

$71,164,616 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$69,294,701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$60,144,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$84,496,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canada

Canada

$61,156,322 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scotland

Scotland

$60,611,672 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egypt

Egypt

$65,827,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$52,095,519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Algeria

Algeria

$62,538,436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$61,178,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Congo DR

Congo DR

$75,825,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for New Zealand

New Zealand

$46,902,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,835,992 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordan

Jordan

$32,778,325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$43,838,363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iran

Iran

$56,319,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

$46,137,098 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$36,409,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

$61,311,973 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panama

Panama

$20,028,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$30,378,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Africa

South Africa

$39,185,977 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cape Verde

Cape Verde

$48,790,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$56,923,170 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$45,056,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$56,331,714 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,661,737,723
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,661,737,723
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "World Cup Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 50+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "France" sa 18%, sinusundan ng "Spain" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 18¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "World Cup Winner" ay naka-generate ng $2.7 billion sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "World Cup Winner," i-browse ang 50+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "World Cup Winner" ay "France" sa 18%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Spain" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "World Cup Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.