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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

icon for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 57.6%

Lamine Yamal 17.4%

Rodri 10%

Kylian Mbappé 8.1%

Polymarket

$27,870,040 Vol.

Harry Kane 57.6%

Lamine Yamal 17.4%

Rodri 10%

Kylian Mbappé 8.1%

Polymarket

$27,870,040 Vol.

Harry Kane

$3,241,579 Vol.

58%

Lamine Yamal

$1,727,850 Vol.

17%

Rodri

$1,019,241 Vol.

10%

Kylian Mbappé

$1,500,887 Vol.

8%

Lionel Messi

$1,852,339 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$1,695,888 Vol.

2%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,016,878 Vol.

2%

Fabian Ruiz

$790,225 Vol.

1%

Pau Cubarsi

$784,837 Vol.

1%

Erling Haaland

$1,125,092 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,002,793 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$1,063,743 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$791,404 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$670,430 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$1,057,636 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,066,417 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$879,535 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$678,457 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$731,873 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$694,091 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$708,024 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$486,125 Vol.

<1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$457,367 Vol.

<1%

Enzo Fernandez

$66,053 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$446,640 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$732,292 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$739,010 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$439,274 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$168,259 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$88,103 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$147,735 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 57.6% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around his exceptional goalscoring output for Bayern Munich throughout the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign and consistent England captaincy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 17.4% on the strength of his breakout performances and contributions to Spain's World Cup success, though an injury limited his impact in the tournament itself. Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.1% trail further, with the former benefiting from prior Ballon d'Or recognition and the latter from club form. Recent post-World Cup club returns and early 2026/27 fixtures have reinforced Kane's position while keeping Yamal as the primary challenger among younger talents.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$27,870,040
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 57.6% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus around his exceptional goalscoring output for Bayern Munich throughout the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign and consistent England captaincy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 17.4% on the strength of his breakout performances and contributions to Spain's World Cup success, though an injury limited his impact in the tournament itself. Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.1% trail further, with the former benefiting from prior Ballon d'Or recognition and the latter from club form. Recent post-World Cup club returns and early 2026/27 fixtures have reinforced Kane's position while keeping Yamal as the primary challenger among younger talents.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$27,870,040
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 31 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Harry Kane" sa 58%, sinusundan ng "Lamine Yamal" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 58¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay naka-generate ng $27.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 22, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026," i-browse ang 31 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay "Harry Kane" sa 58%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 58% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamine Yamal" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.