SpaceX’s explicit selection of the Nasdaq for its upcoming IPO, confirmed in the company’s May 20 SEC filing and subsequent roadshow preparations targeting a June 12 debut under ticker SPCX, drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability. This aligns with Elon Musk’s prior experience listing Tesla on the same venue, leverages Nasdaq’s recent rule adjustments to accelerate index inclusion for large entrants, and reflects the exchange’s established framework for high-growth technology and aerospace firms. While the filing and pricing details at $135 per share signal firm intent, a last-minute regulatory pivot or strategic shift to the NYSE remains a low-probability scenario that could only arise from unforeseen compliance issues or corporate restructuring.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 99.6%
Other 1.5%
NYSE <1%
$107,613 Vol.
$107,613 Vol.
NASDAQ
100%
Other
2%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 99.6%
Other 1.5%
NYSE <1%
$107,613 Vol.
$107,613 Vol.
NASDAQ
100%
Other
2%
NYSE
<1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s explicit selection of the Nasdaq for its upcoming IPO, confirmed in the company’s May 20 SEC filing and subsequent roadshow preparations targeting a June 12 debut under ticker SPCX, drives the overwhelming 99.6% market-implied probability. This aligns with Elon Musk’s prior experience listing Tesla on the same venue, leverages Nasdaq’s recent rule adjustments to accelerate index inclusion for large entrants, and reflects the exchange’s established framework for high-growth technology and aerospace firms. While the filing and pricing details at $135 per share signal firm intent, a last-minute regulatory pivot or strategic shift to the NYSE remains a low-probability scenario that could only arise from unforeseen compliance issues or corporate restructuring.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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