Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting recent authoritative reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO in history. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explicit condition for accelerated Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, prompting Nasdaq to enact rule changes effective May 1 for fast-tracking megacap listings after just 15 trading days, aligning with precedents like Tesla's NASDAQ trajectory. Supporting factors include SpaceX's dominant Starship launch cadence and Starlink expansion, underpinning mega-IPO feasibility. Realistic challenges involve NYSE's aggressive competition or bids from emerging venues like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no fresh data signals a shift ahead of the June roadshow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 94%
Other 5.3%
NYSE <1%
$92,358 Vol.
$92,358 Vol.
NASDAQ
94%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 94%
Other 5.3%
NYSE <1%
$92,358 Vol.
$92,358 Vol.
NASDAQ
94%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 93.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting recent authoritative reports of the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO in history. This positioning stems from SpaceX's explicit condition for accelerated Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, prompting Nasdaq to enact rule changes effective May 1 for fast-tracking megacap listings after just 15 trading days, aligning with precedents like Tesla's NASDAQ trajectory. Supporting factors include SpaceX's dominant Starship launch cadence and Starlink expansion, underpinning mega-IPO feasibility. Realistic challenges involve NYSE's aggressive competition or bids from emerging venues like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no fresh data signals a shift ahead of the June roadshow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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