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Heopolitika·Iran

War Powers resolution passes the Senate?

icon for War Powers resolution passes the Senate?
Heopolitika·Iran

War Powers resolution passes the Senate?

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<1% tsansa
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered.

Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 6, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 4, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered.

Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Mar 6, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 4, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "War Powers resolution passes the Senate?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 0% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 0¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 0% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "War Powers resolution passes the Senate?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Mar 4, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "War Powers resolution passes the Senate?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "War Powers resolution passes the Senate?" ay 0% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 0% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "War Powers resolution passes the Senate?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.