The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 50%
50B–75B 12.2%
75B–100B 10.2%
<20B 6.9%
$140,032 Vol.
$140,032 Vol.
<20B
7%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
7%
50B–75B
12%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
50%
No IPO before 2028 50%
50B–75B 12.2%
75B–100B 10.2%
<20B 6.9%
$140,032 Vol.
$140,032 Vol.
<20B
7%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
7%
50B–75B
12%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
6%
No IPO before 2028
50%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The primary driver behind the 49.5% implied probability for no IPO before 2028 is CEO Aravind Srinivas’s March 2025 statement that Perplexity has sufficient private capital and no plans to go public earlier, reinforced by its September 2025 Series E round that secured a $20 billion valuation with backing from investors including SoftBank and Accel. Recent revenue growth to $500 million annualized by April 2026 has strengthened the company’s ability to remain private while competing in the AI search space against larger players using large language models for real-time answers. Traders appear to weigh this against typical late-stage AI startup timelines, where strong private-market access often delays listings. Potential catalysts include any shift in capital availability or competitive pressure that could accelerate an earlier filing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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