Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
$521,241 Vol.
$521,241 Vol.

Anthropic
No

OpenAI
No

xAI
No

Baidu
No

Amazon
No

Mistral
No

Meituan
No

Microsoft
No

Yes

Alibaba
No

ByteDance
No

Moonshot
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Meta
No
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
$521,241 Vol.
$521,241 Vol.

Anthropic
No

OpenAI
No

xAI
No

Baidu
No

Amazon
No

Mistral
No

Meituan
No

Microsoft
No

Yes

Alibaba
No

ByteDance
No

Moonshot
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Meta
No
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Google’s May 19 I/O announcements, including Gemini 3.5 Flash general availability and Gemini Deep Think agentic reasoning tools, drove the near-certain market consensus that its models lead in mathematical reasoning at month-end. These updates highlighted demonstrated performance on expert-level open problems in mathematics and science, along with strong results on competition-style benchmarks that reward multi-step symbolic reasoning. Traders viewed Google’s integrated hardware-software ecosystem and rapid iteration cadence as decisive advantages over peers. A late-May release or benchmark breakthrough from another lab could still shift perceptions, though the current positioning reflects sustained momentum in verified capability demonstrations rather than unconfirmed claims.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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