Traders have aligned overwhelmingly behind Anthropic as the leader in AI model capabilities by end of May, with the near-certain market-implied probability reflecting its recent large language model releases that delivered superior benchmark results and demonstrated advances in reasoning and safety features. This consensus draws from competitive positioning where Anthropic's models have set new standards relative to other labs, backed by real capital at risk in the prediction market. Google remains a distant second, underscoring limited expectation of a late reversal. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected competitor announcements or revised third-party evaluations of AI performance metrics before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$11,884,167 Vol.
$11,884,167 Vol.
May 31, 2026
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$11,884,167 Vol.
$11,884,167 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$1,019,021 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$541,724 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$789,298 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$1,056,189 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$575,402 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$513,932 Vol.
No
Meta
$859,294 Vol.
No
Anthropic
$1,197,411 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$1,185,551 Vol.
No
xAI
$947,614 Vol.
No
Baidu
$473,434 Vol.
No
Amazon
$419,719 Vol.
No
Mistral
$1,560,303 Vol.
No
Meituan
$312,992 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$432,285 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have aligned overwhelmingly behind Anthropic as the leader in AI model capabilities by end of May, with the near-certain market-implied probability reflecting its recent large language model releases that delivered superior benchmark results and demonstrated advances in reasoning and safety features. This consensus draws from competitive positioning where Anthropic's models have set new standards relative to other labs, backed by real capital at risk in the prediction market. Google remains a distant second, underscoring limited expectation of a late reversal. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected competitor announcements or revised third-party evaluations of AI performance metrics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$11,884,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have aligned overwhelmingly behind Anthropic as the leader in AI model capabilities by end of May, with the near-certain market-implied probability reflecting its recent large language model releases that delivered superior benchmark results and demonstrated advances in reasoning and safety features. This consensus draws from competitive positioning where Anthropic's models have set new standards relative to other labs, backed by real capital at risk in the prediction market. Google remains a distant second, underscoring limited expectation of a late reversal. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected competitor announcements or revised third-party evaluations of AI performance metrics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$11,884,167Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
Traders have aligned overwhelmingly behind Anthropic as the leader in AI model capabilities by end of May, with the near-certain market-implied probability reflecting its recent large language model releases that delivered superior benchmark results and demonstrated advances in reasoning and safety features. This consensus draws from competitive positioning where Anthropic's models have set new standards relative to other labs, backed by real capital at risk in the prediction market. Google remains a distant second, underscoring limited expectation of a late reversal. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected competitor announcements or revised third-party evaluations of AI performance metrics before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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