Micron's company-issued guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q3 2026—following a Q2 beat to 74.9%—anchors trader expectations amid robust AI demand for high-bandwidth memory, favorable product mix shifts, higher average selling prices, and cost efficiencies. With earnings scheduled for June 24, the closely balanced probabilities between the 85%+ and 82.5–85% bins reflect uncertainty over potential upside from sustained supply tightness in advanced DRAM and NAND versus any sequential normalization or mix variability. Market-implied odds embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued margin expansion from structural AI tailwinds rather than cyclical peaks, consistent with the revenue outlook of $33.5 billion ± $750 million.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMicron Q3 adjusted gross margin?
Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?
82.5%–85% 37%
85%+ 12%
77.5%–80% 5.5%
<75% 4.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 24, 2026
<75%
5%
75%–77.5%
4%
77.5%–80%
5%
80%–82.5%
31%
82.5%–85%
37%
85%+
12%
82.5%–85% 37%
85%+ 12%
77.5%–80% 5.5%
<75% 4.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 24, 2026
<75%
$1,035 Vol.
5%
75%–77.5%
$357 Vol.
4%
77.5%–80%
$407 Vol.
5%
80%–82.5%
$1,484 Vol.
31%
82.5%–85%
$493 Vol.
37%
85%+
$6,123 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron's company-issued guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q3 2026—following a Q2 beat to 74.9%—anchors trader expectations amid robust AI demand for high-bandwidth memory, favorable product mix shifts, higher average selling prices, and cost efficiencies. With earnings scheduled for June 24, the closely balanced probabilities between the 85%+ and 82.5–85% bins reflect uncertainty over potential upside from sustained supply tightness in advanced DRAM and NAND versus any sequential normalization or mix variability. Market-implied odds embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued margin expansion from structural AI tailwinds rather than cyclical peaks, consistent with the revenue outlook of $33.5 billion ± $750 million.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volume
$9,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron's company-issued guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q3 2026—following a Q2 beat to 74.9%—anchors trader expectations amid robust AI demand for high-bandwidth memory, favorable product mix shifts, higher average selling prices, and cost efficiencies. With earnings scheduled for June 24, the closely balanced probabilities between the 85%+ and 82.5–85% bins reflect uncertainty over potential upside from sustained supply tightness in advanced DRAM and NAND versus any sequential normalization or mix variability. Market-implied odds embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued margin expansion from structural AI tailwinds rather than cyclical peaks, consistent with the revenue outlook of $33.5 billion ± $750 million.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$9,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micron's company-issued guidance of approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q3 2026—following a Q2 beat to 74.9%—anchors trader expectations amid robust AI demand for high-bandwidth memory, favorable product mix shifts, higher average selling prices, and cost efficiencies. With earnings scheduled for June 24, the closely balanced probabilities between the 85%+ and 82.5–85% bins reflect uncertainty over potential upside from sustained supply tightness in advanced DRAM and NAND versus any sequential normalization or mix variability. Market-implied odds embed skin-in-the-game consensus on continued margin expansion from structural AI tailwinds rather than cyclical peaks, consistent with the revenue outlook of $33.5 billion ± $750 million.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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