Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver behind trader sentiment in the Crude Oil (CL) June settlement market, with the >$84 bucket commanding 61% implied probability. Recent reports of halted U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and ongoing Middle East production disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws and elevated front-month WTI prices into the low $90s, reinforcing the market’s pricing of sustained supply tightness through the contract’s resolution. Broader fundamentals, including OPEC+ output adjustments and resilient global demand, provide secondary support, while forward curves reflect expectations that de-escalation could pressure prices lower later in the quarter.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 61%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.6%
$63-$70 2.8%
$208,012 Vol.
$208,012 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
13%
$77-$84
21%
>$84
61%
>$84 61%
$77-$84 21%
$70-$77 12.6%
$63-$70 2.8%
$208,012 Vol.
$208,012 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$21,462 Vol.
<1%
$42-$49
$10,192 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$12,160 Vol.
1%
$56-$63
$14,167 Vol.
1%
$63-$70
$27,322 Vol.
3%
$70-$77
$16,945 Vol.
13%
$77-$84
$17,332 Vol.
21%
>$84
$88,432 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver behind trader sentiment in the Crude Oil (CL) June settlement market, with the >$84 bucket commanding 61% implied probability. Recent reports of halted U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and ongoing Middle East production disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws and elevated front-month WTI prices into the low $90s, reinforcing the market’s pricing of sustained supply tightness through the contract’s resolution. Broader fundamentals, including OPEC+ output adjustments and resilient global demand, provide secondary support, while forward curves reflect expectations that de-escalation could pressure prices lower later in the quarter.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$208,012Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver behind trader sentiment in the Crude Oil (CL) June settlement market, with the >$84 bucket commanding 61% implied probability. Recent reports of halted U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and ongoing Middle East production disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws and elevated front-month WTI prices into the low $90s, reinforcing the market’s pricing of sustained supply tightness through the contract’s resolution. Broader fundamentals, including OPEC+ output adjustments and resilient global demand, provide secondary support, while forward curves reflect expectations that de-escalation could pressure prices lower later in the quarter.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$208,012Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz have emerged as the dominant driver behind trader sentiment in the Crude Oil (CL) June settlement market, with the >$84 bucket commanding 61% implied probability. Recent reports of halted U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and ongoing Middle East production disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws and elevated front-month WTI prices into the low $90s, reinforcing the market’s pricing of sustained supply tightness through the contract’s resolution. Broader fundamentals, including OPEC+ output adjustments and resilient global demand, provide secondary support, while forward curves reflect expectations that de-escalation could pressure prices lower later in the quarter.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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