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Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 85%

Rakhi Israni Singh 10.5%

Matt Ortega 4.0%

Carin Elam 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Aisha Wahab 85%

Rakhi Israni Singh 10.5%

Matt Ortega 4.0%

Carin Elam 3.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Aisha Wahab

$434 Vol.

85%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Vol.

3%

Wendy Huang

$165 Vol.

1%

Carin Elam

$210 Vol.

3%

Matt Ortega

$183 Vol.

4%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Vol.

11%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Vol.

3%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market because of her California Democratic Party endorsement and record as a state senator in a heavily Democratic East Bay district left vacant by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. Traders assign her the clear lead as the primary on June 16 approaches, with a possible outright win if she exceeds 50 percent or advancement to the August 18 general. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, and Victor Aguilar Jr. split support in the crowded field, while limited Republican participation keeps their odds low. No major new endorsements or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter this consensus.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Volume
$1,663
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market because of her California Democratic Party endorsement and record as a state senator in a heavily Democratic East Bay district left vacant by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. Traders assign her the clear lead as the primary on June 16 approaches, with a possible outright win if she exceeds 50 percent or advancement to the August 18 general. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, and Victor Aguilar Jr. split support in the crowded field, while limited Republican participation keeps their odds low. No major new endorsements or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter this consensus.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Volume
$1,663
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Aisha Wahab" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Rakhi Israni Singh" sa 11%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 16, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "CA-14 Special Election Winner?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" ay "Aisha Wahab" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rakhi Israni Singh" sa 11%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "CA-14 Special Election Winner?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.