Trader consensus strongly favors 120-125 million ballots in the 2026 House elections because preliminary national counts reached approximately 124.3 million, reflecting the second-highest midterm turnout rate since 1914. Record early voting exceeded 60 million ballots, driven by expanded in-person options, high engagement in competitive districts, and broader voter mobilization patterns similar to 2018. This outcome aligns with historical midterm participation levels under divided government and recent registration trends. Outstanding mail ballot counts in states such as California and Washington could produce small revisions, though sustained turnout across key battlegrounds makes shifts outside the leading range improbable without major certification anomalies.