Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams dominates trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his superior fundraising—over $1.5 million raised versus Nate Blouin's $526,000 as of late April—strong name recognition from prior service, and a March poll lead of 36% amid 25% undecideds. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% on legislative experience and resources, while Liban Mohamed's 7.2% reflects a narrow April 25 state convention win via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, signaling progressive delegate support but limited appeal in Utah's open primary open to independents. No post-convention polls have emerged; the blue-leaning Salt Lake City district's nominee advances to November general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBen McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 7.2%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,129 ปริมาณ
$29,129 ปริมาณ
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
7%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Ben McAdams 75%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 7.2%
Erin Mendenhall <1%
$29,129 ปริมาณ
$29,129 ปริมาณ
Ben McAdams
75%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
7%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Brian King
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams dominates trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his superior fundraising—over $1.5 million raised versus Nate Blouin's $526,000 as of late April—strong name recognition from prior service, and a March poll lead of 36% amid 25% undecideds. State Sen. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% on legislative experience and resources, while Liban Mohamed's 7.2% reflects a narrow April 25 state convention win via ranked-choice voting over McAdams, signaling progressive delegate support but limited appeal in Utah's open primary open to independents. No post-convention polls have emerged; the blue-leaning Salt Lake City district's nominee advances to November general.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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