Sergio Moro’s nomination by the Liberal Party (PL) as its candidate for the October 2026 Paraná gubernatorial election, confirmed in mid-August party conventions with formal registration expected shortly, has solidified his position as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing. Recent polling averages show him holding a substantial lead in the first round, often above 40 percent, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Curi, Beto Richa, Requião Filho, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva. Shifting alliances, including support from Flávio Bolsonaro following a split with incumbent-aligned groups, have further consolidated right-leaning backing behind Moro while fragmenting opposition fields. These developments align with the market’s heavy weighting toward Moro and correspondingly low probabilities for other named contenders, reflecting the stability of his polling edge and coalition momentum ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วParaná Governor Election Winner
Paraná Governor Election Winner
Sergio Moro 85%
Beto Richa 5.6%
Alexandre Curi 5.5%
Guto Silva 3.2%
$43,775 ปริมาณ
$43,775 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
85%
Beto Richa
6%
Alexandre Curi
5%
Guto Silva
3%
Enio Verri
3%
Rafael Greca
3%
Luiz França
1%
Requião Filho
1%
Sergio Moro 85%
Beto Richa 5.6%
Alexandre Curi 5.5%
Guto Silva 3.2%
$43,775 ปริมาณ
$43,775 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
Sergio Moro
$34,353 ปริมาณ
85%
Beto Richa
$371 ปริมาณ
6%
Alexandre Curi
$482 ปริมาณ
5%
Guto Silva
$647 ปริมาณ
3%
Enio Verri
$309 ปริมาณ
3%
Rafael Greca
$352 ปริมาณ
3%
Luiz França
$272 ปริมาณ
1%
Requião Filho
$6,990 ปริมาณ
1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro’s nomination by the Liberal Party (PL) as its candidate for the October 2026 Paraná gubernatorial election, confirmed in mid-August party conventions with formal registration expected shortly, has solidified his position as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing. Recent polling averages show him holding a substantial lead in the first round, often above 40 percent, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Curi, Beto Richa, Requião Filho, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva. Shifting alliances, including support from Flávio Bolsonaro following a split with incumbent-aligned groups, have further consolidated right-leaning backing behind Moro while fragmenting opposition fields. These developments align with the market’s heavy weighting toward Moro and correspondingly low probabilities for other named contenders, reflecting the stability of his polling edge and coalition momentum ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,775วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro’s nomination by the Liberal Party (PL) as its candidate for the October 2026 Paraná gubernatorial election, confirmed in mid-August party conventions with formal registration expected shortly, has solidified his position as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing. Recent polling averages show him holding a substantial lead in the first round, often above 40 percent, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Curi, Beto Richa, Requião Filho, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva. Shifting alliances, including support from Flávio Bolsonaro following a split with incumbent-aligned groups, have further consolidated right-leaning backing behind Moro while fragmenting opposition fields. These developments align with the market’s heavy weighting toward Moro and correspondingly low probabilities for other named contenders, reflecting the stability of his polling edge and coalition momentum ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,775วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro’s nomination by the Liberal Party (PL) as its candidate for the October 2026 Paraná gubernatorial election, confirmed in mid-August party conventions with formal registration expected shortly, has solidified his position as the clear frontrunner in trader pricing. Recent polling averages show him holding a substantial lead in the first round, often above 40 percent, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Curi, Beto Richa, Requião Filho, Rafael Greca, and Guto Silva. Shifting alliances, including support from Flávio Bolsonaro following a split with incumbent-aligned groups, have further consolidated right-leaning backing behind Moro while fragmenting opposition fields. These developments align with the market’s heavy weighting toward Moro and correspondingly low probabilities for other named contenders, reflecting the stability of his polling edge and coalition momentum ahead of the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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