Paul Tonko, the Democratic incumbent, seeks re-election in New York’s 20th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the advantages of incumbency in House contests. Republican primary activity remains limited ahead of the June 23 vote, with no evident surge in opposition strength. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 92 percent aligns with the structural barriers for Republicans, including the need for an unusually large swing in voter sentiment or an unforeseen vacancy. A retirement by Tonko or a broader national realignment favoring the opposing party could alter the dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$26,171 ปริมาณ
$26,171 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$26,171 ปริมาณ
$26,171 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,756 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$12,415 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko, the Democratic incumbent, seeks re-election in New York’s 20th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the advantages of incumbency in House contests. Republican primary activity remains limited ahead of the June 23 vote, with no evident surge in opposition strength. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 92 percent aligns with the structural barriers for Republicans, including the need for an unusually large swing in voter sentiment or an unforeseen vacancy. A retirement by Tonko or a broader national realignment favoring the opposing party could alter the dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,171วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Tonko, the Democratic incumbent, seeks re-election in New York’s 20th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the advantages of incumbency in House contests. Republican primary activity remains limited ahead of the June 23 vote, with no evident surge in opposition strength. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 92 percent aligns with the structural barriers for Republicans, including the need for an unusually large swing in voter sentiment or an unforeseen vacancy. A retirement by Tonko or a broader national realignment favoring the opposing party could alter the dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,171วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paul Tonko, the Democratic incumbent, seeks re-election in New York’s 20th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the advantages of incumbency in House contests. Republican primary activity remains limited ahead of the June 23 vote, with no evident surge in opposition strength. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 92 percent aligns with the structural barriers for Republicans, including the need for an unusually large swing in voter sentiment or an unforeseen vacancy. A retirement by Tonko or a broader national realignment favoring the opposing party could alter the dynamics before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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