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John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 ปริมาณ

John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 ปริมาณ

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$2,167,157 ปริมาณ

No

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$829,319 ปริมาณ

Yes

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$2,035,489 ปริมาณ

No

icon for John Cornyn

John Cornyn

$651,008 ปริมาณ

No

icon for Joni Ernst

Joni Ernst

$1,517,584 ปริมาณ

No

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$3,216,833 ปริมาณ

No

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$3,005,847 ปริมาณ

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,423,238
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,423,238
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "John Thune" ที่ 100% ตามด้วย "JD Vance" ที่ 0% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 100¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "Next Senate Majority Leader?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $13.4 million ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Nov 6, 2024 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ดู 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Next Senate Majority Leader?" คือ "John Thune" ที่ 100% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "JD Vance" ที่ 0% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Next Senate Majority Leader?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้