Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 80.5% implied probability for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican Don Bacon's June 2025 retirement announcement, which shifted the open race to Lean D per Cook Political Report and created a prime Democratic flip opportunity in the competitive Omaha-based battleground. Early October 2025 Public Policy Polling surveys showed generic Democrats leading Republicans by 5–7 points, with named candidates John Cavanaugh (+7) and Denise Powell (+5) ahead against presumed GOP nominee Omaha City Council member Brinker Harding. With May 12 primaries imminent, Harding dominates the less crowded Republican field, while Democrats' tight primary—featuring state Sen. Cavanaugh, fundraising leader Powell ($1.5 million raised), and Crystal Rhoades—intensifies amid recent forums and Powell's Q1 cash-on-hand edge ($458,000), bolstering optimism for a strong nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$27,240 ปริมาณ
$27,240 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
18%
$27,240 ปริมาณ
$27,240 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,076 ปริมาณ
80%
Republican Party
$165 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 80.5% implied probability for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican Don Bacon's June 2025 retirement announcement, which shifted the open race to Lean D per Cook Political Report and created a prime Democratic flip opportunity in the competitive Omaha-based battleground. Early October 2025 Public Policy Polling surveys showed generic Democrats leading Republicans by 5–7 points, with named candidates John Cavanaugh (+7) and Denise Powell (+5) ahead against presumed GOP nominee Omaha City Council member Brinker Harding. With May 12 primaries imminent, Harding dominates the less crowded Republican field, while Democrats' tight primary—featuring state Sen. Cavanaugh, fundraising leader Powell ($1.5 million raised), and Crystal Rhoades—intensifies amid recent forums and Powell's Q1 cash-on-hand edge ($458,000), bolstering optimism for a strong nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,240วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 80.5% implied probability for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican Don Bacon's June 2025 retirement announcement, which shifted the open race to Lean D per Cook Political Report and created a prime Democratic flip opportunity in the competitive Omaha-based battleground. Early October 2025 Public Policy Polling surveys showed generic Democrats leading Republicans by 5–7 points, with named candidates John Cavanaugh (+7) and Denise Powell (+5) ahead against presumed GOP nominee Omaha City Council member Brinker Harding. With May 12 primaries imminent, Harding dominates the less crowded Republican field, while Democrats' tight primary—featuring state Sen. Cavanaugh, fundraising leader Powell ($1.5 million raised), and Crystal Rhoades—intensifies amid recent forums and Powell's Q1 cash-on-hand edge ($458,000), bolstering optimism for a strong nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,240วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 80.5% implied probability for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican Don Bacon's June 2025 retirement announcement, which shifted the open race to Lean D per Cook Political Report and created a prime Democratic flip opportunity in the competitive Omaha-based battleground. Early October 2025 Public Policy Polling surveys showed generic Democrats leading Republicans by 5–7 points, with named candidates John Cavanaugh (+7) and Denise Powell (+5) ahead against presumed GOP nominee Omaha City Council member Brinker Harding. With May 12 primaries imminent, Harding dominates the less crowded Republican field, while Democrats' tight primary—featuring state Sen. Cavanaugh, fundraising leader Powell ($1.5 million raised), and Crystal Rhoades—intensifies amid recent forums and Powell's Q1 cash-on-hand edge ($458,000), bolstering optimism for a strong nominee.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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