Aaron Flint holds a trader consensus lead in the MT-01 House race due to the district’s Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with President Trump’s endorsement after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired. Recent Rutgers and Public Policy Polling surveys from late August through mid-September show the contest essentially tied or within the margin of error, with Sam Forstag competitive on name recognition and early fundraising. Negative advertising from the Flint campaign and Forstag’s response have intensified in September, while both candidates emphasize their backgrounds as a radio host and Army veteran versus a smokejumper and union leader. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with Libertarian Nick Sheedy a minor factor in current polling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$20,133 ปริมาณ
$20,133 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
68%
Sam Forstag (D)
34%
$20,133 ปริมาณ
$20,133 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
$6,753 ปริมาณ
68%
Sam Forstag (D)
$13,380 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a trader consensus lead in the MT-01 House race due to the district’s Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with President Trump’s endorsement after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired. Recent Rutgers and Public Policy Polling surveys from late August through mid-September show the contest essentially tied or within the margin of error, with Sam Forstag competitive on name recognition and early fundraising. Negative advertising from the Flint campaign and Forstag’s response have intensified in September, while both candidates emphasize their backgrounds as a radio host and Army veteran versus a smokejumper and union leader. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with Libertarian Nick Sheedy a minor factor in current polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,133วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds a trader consensus lead in the MT-01 House race due to the district’s Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with President Trump’s endorsement after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired. Recent Rutgers and Public Policy Polling surveys from late August through mid-September show the contest essentially tied or within the margin of error, with Sam Forstag competitive on name recognition and early fundraising. Negative advertising from the Flint campaign and Forstag’s response have intensified in September, while both candidates emphasize their backgrounds as a radio host and Army veteran versus a smokejumper and union leader. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with Libertarian Nick Sheedy a minor factor in current polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,133วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint holds a trader consensus lead in the MT-01 House race due to the district’s Republican lean—Donald Trump carried it by 12 points in 2024—and his primary victory with President Trump’s endorsement after incumbent Ryan Zinke retired. Recent Rutgers and Public Policy Polling surveys from late August through mid-September show the contest essentially tied or within the margin of error, with Sam Forstag competitive on name recognition and early fundraising. Negative advertising from the Flint campaign and Forstag’s response have intensified in September, while both candidates emphasize their backgrounds as a radio host and Army veteran versus a smokejumper and union leader. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with Libertarian Nick Sheedy a minor factor in current polling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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