Trader consensus heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model at 81% implied probability, driven by credible leaks revealing the model's completion of pretraining—internally codenamed "Spud"—and massive GPU resource redirection as of late March. Over the past week, ChatGPT Pro users have reported unannounced upgrades to GPT-5.4 Pro, including faster speeds and enhanced visual understanding, fueling speculation of stealth testing for this incremental large language model upgrade aimed at matching Anthropic's Mythos in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement has surfaced, OpenAI's pattern of swift post-training rollouts and competitive pressures explain the sharp odds concentration, with "No release by April 30" at 13% reflecting potential delays from final safety evaluations or benchmark tuning. Watch for developer previews or API updates this week.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วApril 23 81%
No release by April 30 13.2%
April 30 3.0%
April 21 2.1%
$152,555 ปริมาณ
$152,555 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
April 19
<1%
April 20
<1%
April 21
2%
April 22
2%
April 23
81%
April 24
<1%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
1%
April 29
1%
April 30
3%
No release by April 30
13%
April 23 81%
No release by April 30 13.2%
April 30 3.0%
April 21 2.1%
$152,555 ปริมาณ
$152,555 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
April 19
$2,892 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 20
$2,928 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 21
$5,469 ปริมาณ
2%
April 22
$6,964 ปริมาณ
2%
April 23
$34,530 ปริมาณ
81%
April 24
$3,683 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 25
$1,743 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 26
$2,060 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 27
$2,891 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 28
$3,670 ปริมาณ
1%
April 29
$3,089 ปริมาณ
1%
April 30
$5,863 ปริมาณ
3%
No release by April 30
$11,372 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model at 81% implied probability, driven by credible leaks revealing the model's completion of pretraining—internally codenamed "Spud"—and massive GPU resource redirection as of late March. Over the past week, ChatGPT Pro users have reported unannounced upgrades to GPT-5.4 Pro, including faster speeds and enhanced visual understanding, fueling speculation of stealth testing for this incremental large language model upgrade aimed at matching Anthropic's Mythos in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement has surfaced, OpenAI's pattern of swift post-training rollouts and competitive pressures explain the sharp odds concentration, with "No release by April 30" at 13% reflecting potential delays from final safety evaluations or benchmark tuning. Watch for developer previews or API updates this week.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,555วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model at 81% implied probability, driven by credible leaks revealing the model's completion of pretraining—internally codenamed "Spud"—and massive GPU resource redirection as of late March. Over the past week, ChatGPT Pro users have reported unannounced upgrades to GPT-5.4 Pro, including faster speeds and enhanced visual understanding, fueling speculation of stealth testing for this incremental large language model upgrade aimed at matching Anthropic's Mythos in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement has surfaced, OpenAI's pattern of swift post-training rollouts and competitive pressures explain the sharp odds concentration, with "No release by April 30" at 13% reflecting potential delays from final safety evaluations or benchmark tuning. Watch for developer previews or API updates this week.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,555วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an April 23 release for OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model at 81% implied probability, driven by credible leaks revealing the model's completion of pretraining—internally codenamed "Spud"—and massive GPU resource redirection as of late March. Over the past week, ChatGPT Pro users have reported unannounced upgrades to GPT-5.4 Pro, including faster speeds and enhanced visual understanding, fueling speculation of stealth testing for this incremental large language model upgrade aimed at matching Anthropic's Mythos in reasoning and multimodal capabilities. While no official announcement has surfaced, OpenAI's pattern of swift post-training rollouts and competitive pressures explain the sharp odds concentration, with "No release by April 30" at 13% reflecting potential delays from final safety evaluations or benchmark tuning. Watch for developer previews or API updates this week.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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