Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" stems from the absence of any EU member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit, coupled with the lengthy two-year minimum withdrawal process under EU treaties that precludes dissolution before 2027 absent unprecedented coordination among multiple nations. Recent right-wing electoral gains in France and Germany have fueled anti-EU rhetoric from parties like National Rally and AfD, but no governments are pursuing exit referendums or negotiations, as affirmed in the Eurogroup's May 4 assessment of euro area resilience amid geopolitical pressures. Structural economic interdependence and regulatory continuity, such as carbon market reforms, reinforce stability. Only a cascade of crises—like severe debt defaults or war escalation—could shift odds, though such scenarios remain remote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEU dissolves before 2027?
EU dissolves before 2027?
$164,987 ปริมาณ
$164,987 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$164,987 ปริมาณ
$164,987 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" stems from the absence of any EU member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit, coupled with the lengthy two-year minimum withdrawal process under EU treaties that precludes dissolution before 2027 absent unprecedented coordination among multiple nations. Recent right-wing electoral gains in France and Germany have fueled anti-EU rhetoric from parties like National Rally and AfD, but no governments are pursuing exit referendums or negotiations, as affirmed in the Eurogroup's May 4 assessment of euro area resilience amid geopolitical pressures. Structural economic interdependence and regulatory continuity, such as carbon market reforms, reinforce stability. Only a cascade of crises—like severe debt defaults or war escalation—could shift odds, though such scenarios remain remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164,987วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" stems from the absence of any EU member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit, coupled with the lengthy two-year minimum withdrawal process under EU treaties that precludes dissolution before 2027 absent unprecedented coordination among multiple nations. Recent right-wing electoral gains in France and Germany have fueled anti-EU rhetoric from parties like National Rally and AfD, but no governments are pursuing exit referendums or negotiations, as affirmed in the Eurogroup's May 4 assessment of euro area resilience amid geopolitical pressures. Structural economic interdependence and regulatory continuity, such as carbon market reforms, reinforce stability. Only a cascade of crises—like severe debt defaults or war escalation—could shift odds, though such scenarios remain remote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164,987วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 96.5% for "No" stems from the absence of any EU member state invoking Article 50 since Brexit, coupled with the lengthy two-year minimum withdrawal process under EU treaties that precludes dissolution before 2027 absent unprecedented coordination among multiple nations. Recent right-wing electoral gains in France and Germany have fueled anti-EU rhetoric from parties like National Rally and AfD, but no governments are pursuing exit referendums or negotiations, as affirmed in the Eurogroup's May 4 assessment of euro area resilience amid geopolitical pressures. Structural economic interdependence and regulatory continuity, such as carbon market reforms, reinforce stability. Only a cascade of crises—like severe debt defaults or war escalation—could shift odds, though such scenarios remain remote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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