Recent developments underscore the durability of OPEC's framework despite the United Arab Emirates' April 2026 exit, with the remaining core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait continuing coordinated production adjustments and reaffirming commitments to oil market stability in multiple 2026 ministerial meetings. The group has maintained output discipline amid geopolitical supply disruptions and lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, signaling operational continuity rather than fragmentation. Trader consensus for no dissolution this year reflects these institutional signals and the absence of broader exits. A major rift among key producers or accelerated quota disputes could introduce volatility, though scheduled June 2026 meetings provide near-term anchors for stability expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
$19,103 ปริมาณ
$19,103 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$19,103 ปริมาณ
$19,103 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments underscore the durability of OPEC's framework despite the United Arab Emirates' April 2026 exit, with the remaining core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait continuing coordinated production adjustments and reaffirming commitments to oil market stability in multiple 2026 ministerial meetings. The group has maintained output discipline amid geopolitical supply disruptions and lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, signaling operational continuity rather than fragmentation. Trader consensus for no dissolution this year reflects these institutional signals and the absence of broader exits. A major rift among key producers or accelerated quota disputes could introduce volatility, though scheduled June 2026 meetings provide near-term anchors for stability expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,103วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments underscore the durability of OPEC's framework despite the United Arab Emirates' April 2026 exit, with the remaining core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait continuing coordinated production adjustments and reaffirming commitments to oil market stability in multiple 2026 ministerial meetings. The group has maintained output discipline amid geopolitical supply disruptions and lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, signaling operational continuity rather than fragmentation. Trader consensus for no dissolution this year reflects these institutional signals and the absence of broader exits. A major rift among key producers or accelerated quota disputes could introduce volatility, though scheduled June 2026 meetings provide near-term anchors for stability expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,103วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments underscore the durability of OPEC's framework despite the United Arab Emirates' April 2026 exit, with the remaining core members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and Kuwait continuing coordinated production adjustments and reaffirming commitments to oil market stability in multiple 2026 ministerial meetings. The group has maintained output discipline amid geopolitical supply disruptions and lowered its 2026 global demand growth forecast to 1.17 million barrels per day, signaling operational continuity rather than fragmentation. Trader consensus for no dissolution this year reflects these institutional signals and the absence of broader exits. A major rift among key producers or accelerated quota disputes could introduce volatility, though scheduled June 2026 meetings provide near-term anchors for stability expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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