Rising euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, has driven strong market-implied odds for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.00% on April 30, Governing Council communications highlighted intensified upside inflation risks and the need for adjustment to restore the 2% target, consistent with Bloomberg survey consensus for quarter-point moves in June and September. Subdued growth data and downside economic risks support the modest probability assigned to no change, while larger adjustments remain negligible. This pricing reflects real-capital trader consensus on the inflation trajectory versus data-dependent official guidance ahead of the next decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 84%
No change 13.7%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$345,224 ปริมาณ
$345,224 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
14%
25 bps Increase
84%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps Increase 84%
No change 13.7%
50+ bps increase <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$345,224 ปริมาณ
$345,224 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$60,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$63,597 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$72,145 ปริมาณ
14%
25 bps Increase
$85,234 ปริมาณ
84%
50+ bps increase
$64,390 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Rising euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, has driven strong market-implied odds for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.00% on April 30, Governing Council communications highlighted intensified upside inflation risks and the need for adjustment to restore the 2% target, consistent with Bloomberg survey consensus for quarter-point moves in June and September. Subdued growth data and downside economic risks support the modest probability assigned to no change, while larger adjustments remain negligible. This pricing reflects real-capital trader consensus on the inflation trajectory versus data-dependent official guidance ahead of the next decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345,224วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Rising euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, has driven strong market-implied odds for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.00% on April 30, Governing Council communications highlighted intensified upside inflation risks and the need for adjustment to restore the 2% target, consistent with Bloomberg survey consensus for quarter-point moves in June and September. Subdued growth data and downside economic risks support the modest probability assigned to no change, while larger adjustments remain negligible. This pricing reflects real-capital trader consensus on the inflation trajectory versus data-dependent official guidance ahead of the next decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345,224วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rising euro-area inflation, which reached 3.0% in April 2026 amid energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions, has driven strong market-implied odds for a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting. After holding the policy rate steady at 2.00% on April 30, Governing Council communications highlighted intensified upside inflation risks and the need for adjustment to restore the 2% target, consistent with Bloomberg survey consensus for quarter-point moves in June and September. Subdued growth data and downside economic risks support the modest probability assigned to no change, while larger adjustments remain negligible. This pricing reflects real-capital trader consensus on the inflation trajectory versus data-dependent official guidance ahead of the next decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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