Trader consensus favors incumbent President Iliana Iotova at 53.5% implied probability for the autumn 2026 two-round presidential election, driven by her BSP incumbency advantage and momentum from former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria coalition securing a parliamentary landslide with around 44% on April 19 amid Bulgaria's eighth snap vote in five years. Pro-EU challengers trail: Nikolai Denkov of PP-DB at 19.5% after his coalition's 13% parliamentary result, Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB-SDS at 10.5% post-15% showing, and Varna Mayor Blagomir Kotsev of PP-DB at 7%. Fragmented opposition and voter fatigue with unstable coalitions bolster the socialist-aligned frontrunner, though primaries and endorsements could shift dynamics ahead of the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 54%
Nikolai Denkov 20%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%
Blagomir Kotsev 7.1%
$81,366 ปริมาณ
$81,366 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
54%
Nikolai Denkov
20%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
11%
Blagomir Kotsev
7%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Rosen Plevneliev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Iliana Iotova 54%
Nikolai Denkov 20%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 11%
Blagomir Kotsev 7.1%
$81,366 ปริมาณ
$81,366 ปริมาณ
Iliana Iotova
54%
Nikolai Denkov
20%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
11%
Blagomir Kotsev
7%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Rosen Plevneliev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors incumbent President Iliana Iotova at 53.5% implied probability for the autumn 2026 two-round presidential election, driven by her BSP incumbency advantage and momentum from former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria coalition securing a parliamentary landslide with around 44% on April 19 amid Bulgaria's eighth snap vote in five years. Pro-EU challengers trail: Nikolai Denkov of PP-DB at 19.5% after his coalition's 13% parliamentary result, Rosen Zhelyazkov of GERB-SDS at 10.5% post-15% showing, and Varna Mayor Blagomir Kotsev of PP-DB at 7%. Fragmented opposition and voter fatigue with unstable coalitions bolster the socialist-aligned frontrunner, though primaries and endorsements could shift dynamics ahead of the first round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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