Gold (GC) futures underwent a 23% correction in March 2026, with spot prices settling near $4,570 per ounce by March 30—well below January's $5,595 peak—driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger dollar index, and markets pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts amid resilient labor data and an equity rally diverting risk flows. Prediction market trader consensus, backed by millions in volume, implied overwhelming odds against breaching $4,750 or higher thresholds, reflecting slowdowns in central bank purchases and profit-taking during an oil shock. Safe-haven bids provided partial support amid geopolitical tensions, but real yields above 2% weighed heavily. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC minutes for Q2 directional cues, with $4,500 spot as pivotal support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДостигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
Достигнет ли Gold (GC) __ к концу марта?
$3,575,010 Объем
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ $4,300
<1%
↓ $4,000
<1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3 000
<1%
$3,575,010 Объем
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ $4,300
<1%
↓ $4,000
<1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3 000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Gold (GC) futures underwent a 23% correction in March 2026, with spot prices settling near $4,570 per ounce by March 30—well below January's $5,595 peak—driven by rising U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger dollar index, and markets pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts amid resilient labor data and an equity rally diverting risk flows. Prediction market trader consensus, backed by millions in volume, implied overwhelming odds against breaching $4,750 or higher thresholds, reflecting slowdowns in central bank purchases and profit-taking during an oil shock. Safe-haven bids provided partial support amid geopolitical tensions, but real yields above 2% weighed heavily. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC minutes for Q2 directional cues, with $4,500 spot as pivotal support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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