Elena Rybakina's Australian Open 2026 triumph over Aryna Sabalenka propelled her to No. 2 in WTA rankings and accounts for her slim 1.1% implied probability among traders, reflecting her powerful baseline game suited to hard courts and grass like her 2022 Wimbledon win. However, the market's overwhelming 97.4% consensus on "None" stems from the calendar Grand Slam's extreme rarity—no woman has achieved all four majors (Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year since Steffi Graf in 1988—amid a deep field with surface specialists like Iga Swiatek on clay. Rybakina's clay struggles, injury risks over nine months, and rising challengers like Sabalenka (No. 1) and Coco Gauff sustain None's dominance, though an unprecedented injury-free sweep by any top seed could shift odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,488,546 Объем
$1,488,546 Объем
Нет
97%
Елена Рыбакина
1%
$1,488,546 Объем
$1,488,546 Объем
Нет
97%
Елена Рыбакина
1%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elena Rybakina's Australian Open 2026 triumph over Aryna Sabalenka propelled her to No. 2 in WTA rankings and accounts for her slim 1.1% implied probability among traders, reflecting her powerful baseline game suited to hard courts and grass like her 2022 Wimbledon win. However, the market's overwhelming 97.4% consensus on "None" stems from the calendar Grand Slam's extreme rarity—no woman has achieved all four majors (Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon, US Open) in one year since Steffi Graf in 1988—amid a deep field with surface specialists like Iga Swiatek on clay. Rybakina's clay struggles, injury risks over nine months, and rising challengers like Sabalenka (No. 1) and Coco Gauff sustain None's dominance, though an unprecedented injury-free sweep by any top seed could shift odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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