Trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.8% for a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—last achieved by Steffi Graf in 1988—amid WTA depth, surface variability, and injury volatility across Australian Open hard courts, Roland Garros clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard courts. Elena Rybakina's Australian Open title win over Aryna Sabalenka in late January propelled her to No. 2 in rankings by mid-March, earning her slim 1.1% implied probability as the field leader, bolstered by strong Indian Wells and Miami form. However, her Roland Garros quarterfinal history underscores clay challenges, with No. 1 Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek, and Coco Gauff posing threats; sustained peak health and dominance through all four majors could shift odds, though historical precedents remain scarce.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,488,547 Объем
$1,488,547 Объем
Нет
98%
Елена Рыбакина
1%
$1,488,547 Объем
$1,488,547 Объем
Нет
98%
Елена Рыбакина
1%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.8% for a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—last achieved by Steffi Graf in 1988—amid WTA depth, surface variability, and injury volatility across Australian Open hard courts, Roland Garros clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard courts. Elena Rybakina's Australian Open title win over Aryna Sabalenka in late January propelled her to No. 2 in rankings by mid-March, earning her slim 1.1% implied probability as the field leader, bolstered by strong Indian Wells and Miami form. However, her Roland Garros quarterfinal history underscores clay challenges, with No. 1 Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek, and Coco Gauff posing threats; sustained peak health and dominance through all four majors could shift odds, though historical precedents remain scarce.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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