Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 38% implied probability to remain or reclaim the UFC Heavyweight title by year's end, buoyed by his status as reigning champion and dominant finishes prior to recent eye surgeries that have delayed his return until late 2026, prompting an interim belt fight between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane on June 14 at UFC's White House event—elevating Gane's 22% standing amid stylistic questions for Pereira at heavyweight. Derrick Lewis surged to 27.6% following his quick knockout of Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17%) at UFC 324 in January, showcasing renewed knockout threat as #8 ranked contender. Ante Delija's 24.6% reflects his top-10 ranking and aggressive style despite a February loss to Serghei Spivac (14.9%), while Sergei Pavlovich (19.1%) benefits from 2025 decision wins over Rozenstruik and Cortes-Acosta, highlighting the division's volatility with frequent upsets, injuries, and stylistic matchups favoring power punchers in a wide-open field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСирил Ган 16%
Кертис Блейдс 13.7%
Сергей Спивак 2.5%
Александр Волков 1.1%
Сирил Ган
26%
Кертис Блейдс
14%
Сергей Спивак
15%
Александр Волков
11%
Вальдо Кортес Акоста
1%
Марчин Тыбура
10%
Сергей Павлович
19%
Жаилтон Алмейда
15%
Анте Делиа
25%
Том Аспиналл
43%
Деррик Льюис
28%
Сирил Ган 16%
Кертис Блейдс 13.7%
Сергей Спивак 2.5%
Александр Волков 1.1%
Сирил Ган
26%
Кертис Блейдс
14%
Сергей Спивак
15%
Александр Волков
11%
Вальдо Кортес Акоста
1%
Марчин Тыбура
10%
Сергей Павлович
19%
Жаилтон Алмейда
15%
Анте Делиа
25%
Том Аспиналл
43%
Деррик Льюис
28%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 38% implied probability to remain or reclaim the UFC Heavyweight title by year's end, buoyed by his status as reigning champion and dominant finishes prior to recent eye surgeries that have delayed his return until late 2026, prompting an interim belt fight between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane on June 14 at UFC's White House event—elevating Gane's 22% standing amid stylistic questions for Pereira at heavyweight. Derrick Lewis surged to 27.6% following his quick knockout of Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17%) at UFC 324 in January, showcasing renewed knockout threat as #8 ranked contender. Ante Delija's 24.6% reflects his top-10 ranking and aggressive style despite a February loss to Serghei Spivac (14.9%), while Sergei Pavlovich (19.1%) benefits from 2025 decision wins over Rozenstruik and Cortes-Acosta, highlighting the division's volatility with frequent upsets, injuries, and stylistic matchups favoring power punchers in a wide-open field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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