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Политика·Дания

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Market icon
Политика·Дания

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

$17,985 Объем

Mar 24, 2026
Polymarket

$17,985 Объем

Polymarket

Moderates

$1,155 Объем

97%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$0 Объем

77%

Green Left

$688 Объем

79%

Venstre

$0 Объем

45%

Conservative People’s Party

$80 Объем

26%

Red–Green Alliance

$832 Объем

21%

Denmark Democrats

$135 Объем

24%

Liberal Alliance

$0 Объем

13%

The Alternative

$2,967 Объем

5%

Naleraq

$0 Объем

5%

Danish People’s Party

$380 Объем

10%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$0 Объем

1%

Citizens’ Party

$3,071 Объем

1%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$415 Объем

<1%

Union Party

$6,357 Объем

<1%

Social Democrats

$1,906 Объем

69%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented result under proportional representation, with the red bloc securing 86 of 179 seats—four short of a majority—led by Social Democrats (38 seats) and Green Left (20 seats), while the blue bloc took 78 and Moderates claimed 14 as kingmakers. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, tasked by King Frederik X as formateur on March 25, opened coalition talks March 27, favoring a partnership among five red-bloc parties plus Moderates, though Conservatives signal support and Venstre rules out cooperation. Traders eye prolonged negotiations, akin to 2022's six-week process, amid geopolitical tensions like the Greenland dispute that prompted the early vote.

Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented result under proportional representation, with the red bloc securing 86 of 179 seats—four short of a majority—led by Social Democrats (38 seats) and Green Left (20 seats), while the blue bloc took 78 and Moderates claimed 14 as kingmakers. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, tasked by King Frederik X as formateur on March 25, opened coalition talks March 27, favoring a partnership among five red-bloc parties plus Moderates, though Conservatives signal support and Venstre rules out cooperation. Traders eye prolonged negotiations, akin to 2022's six-week process, amid geopolitical tensions like the Greenland dispute that prompted the early vote.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented result under proportional representation, with the red bloc securing 86 of 179 seats—four short of a majority—led by Social Democrats (38 seats) and Green Left (20 seats), while the blue bloc took 78 and Moderates claimed 14 as kingmakers. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, tasked by King Frederik X as formateur on March 25, opened coalition talks March 27, favoring a partnership among five red-bloc parties plus Moderates, though Conservatives signal support and Venstre rules out cooperation. Traders eye prolonged negotiations, akin to 2022's six-week process, amid geopolitical tensions like the Greenland dispute that prompted the early vote.

Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented result under proportional representation, with the red bloc securing 86 of 179 seats—four short of a majority—led by Social Democrats (38 seats) and Green Left (20 seats), while the blue bloc took 78 and Moderates claimed 14 as kingmakers. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, tasked by King Frederik X as formateur on March 25, opened coalition talks March 27, favoring a partnership among five red-bloc parties plus Moderates, though Conservatives signal support and Venstre rules out cooperation. Traders eye prolonged negotiations, akin to 2022's six-week process, amid geopolitical tensions like the Greenland dispute that prompted the early vote.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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«Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Moderates» с 97%, за ним следует «Green Left» с 79%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $18K с момента запуска рынка Mar 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?» — «Moderates» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Green Left» с 79%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.