Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented Folketing, with Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but their red bloc falling short of a majority at 86 of 179 seats. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, in a caretaker role after resigning her prior three-party coalition, was tasked by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations starting March 25, focusing on Green Left (20 seats), Social Liberals (10 seats), and centrist Moderates (14 seats) as potential kingmakers favoring cross-bloc compromise. Venstre (18 seats) has ruled out supporting an Social Democrat-led government, prolonging talks amid proportional representation dynamics; no agreement yet as of early April, with historical precedents suggesting weeks of haggling over welfare, green policies, and Greenland autonomy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$39,622 Объем
Social Democrats
94%
Danish Social Liberal Party
82%
Moderates
78%
Green Left
60%
Conservative People’s Party
35%
Venstre
49%
Denmark Democrats
5%
Danish People’s Party
5%
The Alternative
5%
Red–Green Alliance
11%
Liberal Alliance
4%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
2%
Naleraq
2%
Union Party
1%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
$39,622 Объем
Social Democrats
94%
Danish Social Liberal Party
82%
Moderates
78%
Green Left
60%
Conservative People’s Party
35%
Venstre
49%
Denmark Democrats
5%
Danish People’s Party
5%
The Alternative
5%
Red–Green Alliance
11%
Liberal Alliance
4%
Inuit Ataqatigiit
2%
Naleraq
2%
Union Party
1%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark's snap general election on March 24, 2026, delivered a fragmented Folketing, with Social Democrats securing 38 seats as the largest party but their red bloc falling short of a majority at 86 of 179 seats. Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, in a caretaker role after resigning her prior three-party coalition, was tasked by King Frederik X to lead coalition negotiations starting March 25, focusing on Green Left (20 seats), Social Liberals (10 seats), and centrist Moderates (14 seats) as potential kingmakers favoring cross-bloc compromise. Venstre (18 seats) has ruled out supporting an Social Democrat-led government, prolonging talks amid proportional representation dynamics; no agreement yet as of early April, with historical precedents suggesting weeks of haggling over welfare, green policies, and Greenland autonomy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы