Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March above 5,200, reflecting optimism from cooling inflation and robust corporate earnings amid the AI boom, with the index at 5,160 as of early March. February CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—below expectations—bolstering bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per latest dot plot. However, persistent services inflation and strong jobs data temper aggressive upside, capping near-term gains. Key catalysts ahead include March 6 CPI/PPI releases and the March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where hawkish signals could pivot odds toward 5,100-5,200 bins, underscoring capital-backed caution in this high-volatility environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?
$53,504 Объем
↓ 5700
5%
↓ 5600
3%
↓ 5500
4%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
$53,504 Объем
↓ 5700
5%
↓ 5600
3%
↓ 5500
4%
↓ 5350
1%
↓ 5200
1%
↓ 5000
1%
↓ 4750
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX).
Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing March above 5,200, reflecting optimism from cooling inflation and robust corporate earnings amid the AI boom, with the index at 5,160 as of early March. February CPI rose 3.1% year-over-year—below expectations—bolstering bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per latest dot plot. However, persistent services inflation and strong jobs data temper aggressive upside, capping near-term gains. Key catalysts ahead include March 6 CPI/PPI releases and the March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where hawkish signals could pivot odds toward 5,100-5,200 bins, underscoring capital-backed caution in this high-volatility environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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