The S&P 500 has surged past 5,800, driven by robust tech sector earnings—particularly from Nvidia and other AI leaders—and cooling inflation data, with January CPI at 3.0% year-over-year versus 3.2% expected, reinforcing soft landing expectations. Fed funds futures now imply a 75 basis point rate cut by mid-2025, up from prior pricing, amid resilient labor markets shown in February nonfarm payrolls adding 275,000 jobs. Trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates this bullish momentum with real capital bets, though upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation release pose key risks, alongside election-year volatility; historical March gains average 1.2% but hinge on policy signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
$633,134 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8 000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,900
2%
↓ $6,400
50%
↓ $6,300
23%
↓ $6,200
10%
↓ $6,000
3%
↓ $5 000
<1%
$633,134 Объем
↑ $8 000
$109,182 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,500
$33,204 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,300
$72,675 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,200
$3,227 Объем
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
$15,303 Объем
1%
↑ $7,000
$17,822 Объем
1%
↑ $6,900
$14,602 Объем
2%
↓ $6,400
$51,163 Объем
50%
↓ $6,300
$86,615 Объем
23%
↓ $6,200
$31,658 Объем
10%
↓ $6,000
$41,711 Объем
3%
↓ $5 000
$156,072 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged past 5,800, driven by robust tech sector earnings—particularly from Nvidia and other AI leaders—and cooling inflation data, with January CPI at 3.0% year-over-year versus 3.2% expected, reinforcing soft landing expectations. Fed funds futures now imply a 75 basis point rate cut by mid-2025, up from prior pricing, amid resilient labor markets shown in February nonfarm payrolls adding 275,000 jobs. Trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates this bullish momentum with real capital bets, though upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation release pose key risks, alongside election-year volatility; historical March gains average 1.2% but hinge on policy signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Объем
$633,134Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged past 5,800, driven by robust tech sector earnings—particularly from Nvidia and other AI leaders—and cooling inflation data, with January CPI at 3.0% year-over-year versus 3.2% expected, reinforcing soft landing expectations. Fed funds futures now imply a 75 basis point rate cut by mid-2025, up from prior pricing, amid resilient labor markets shown in February nonfarm payrolls adding 275,000 jobs. Trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates this bullish momentum with real capital bets, though upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation release pose key risks, alongside election-year volatility; historical March gains average 1.2% but hinge on policy signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$633,134Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 has surged past 5,800, driven by robust tech sector earnings—particularly from Nvidia and other AI leaders—and cooling inflation data, with January CPI at 3.0% year-over-year versus 3.2% expected, reinforcing soft landing expectations. Fed funds futures now imply a 75 basis point rate cut by mid-2025, up from prior pricing, amid resilient labor markets shown in February nonfarm payrolls adding 275,000 jobs. Trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates this bullish momentum with real capital bets, though upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and PCE inflation release pose key risks, alongside election-year volatility; historical March gains average 1.2% but hinge on policy signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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