The S&P 500 closed the final trading day of March 2026 at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% or 108 points, extending a 1.74% drop from March 26 amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices over 4% and lifted Treasury yields. Year-to-date returns stand at -6.96%, erasing early gains as traders priced in heightened geopolitical risk following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting. Quarter-end rebalancing amplified downside pressure, with the index's March range spanning 6,356-6,634. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this risk-off sentiment, underscoring the benchmark's vulnerability to energy shocks and global stability ahead of April's economic data releases like nonfarm payrolls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу марта?
$711,407 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8 000
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ $7,300
<1%
↑ $7,200
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
1%
↑ $7,000
1%
↑ $6,900
1%
↓ $6,300
38%
↓ $6,200
30%
↓ $6,000
4%
↓ $5 000
<1%
$711,407 Объем
↑ $8 000
$0 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,500
$39,674 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,300
$77,456 Объем
<1%
↑ $7,200
$5,037 Объем
<1%
↑ 7 100 $
$44,116 Объем
1%
↑ $7,000
$25,523 Объем
1%
↑ $6,900
$64,634 Объем
1%
↓ $6,300
$131,415 Объем
38%
↓ $6,200
$37,046 Объем
30%
↓ $6,000
$51,984 Объем
4%
↓ $5 000
$161,202 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed the final trading day of March 2026 at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% or 108 points, extending a 1.74% drop from March 26 amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices over 4% and lifted Treasury yields. Year-to-date returns stand at -6.96%, erasing early gains as traders priced in heightened geopolitical risk following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting. Quarter-end rebalancing amplified downside pressure, with the index's March range spanning 6,356-6,634. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this risk-off sentiment, underscoring the benchmark's vulnerability to energy shocks and global stability ahead of April's economic data releases like nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Объем
$711,407Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed the final trading day of March 2026 at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% or 108 points, extending a 1.74% drop from March 26 amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices over 4% and lifted Treasury yields. Year-to-date returns stand at -6.96%, erasing early gains as traders priced in heightened geopolitical risk following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting. Quarter-end rebalancing amplified downside pressure, with the index's March range spanning 6,356-6,634. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this risk-off sentiment, underscoring the benchmark's vulnerability to energy shocks and global stability ahead of April's economic data releases like nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$711,407Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed the final trading day of March 2026 at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% or 108 points, extending a 1.74% drop from March 26 amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly the Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices over 4% and lifted Treasury yields. Year-to-date returns stand at -6.96%, erasing early gains as traders priced in heightened geopolitical risk following the March 17-18 FOMC meeting. Quarter-end rebalancing amplified downside pressure, with the index's March range spanning 6,356-6,634. Polymarket trader consensus reflects this risk-off sentiment, underscoring the benchmark's vulnerability to energy shocks and global stability ahead of April's economic data releases like nonfarm payrolls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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