Trader consensus prices Delcy Rodríguez at 63.5% to serve as Venezuela's head of state by end of 2026, signaling expectations of an internal PSUV transition from incumbent Nicolás Maduro (14%), whose January 10, 2025, inauguration capped the disputed July 2024 presidential vote amid opposition fraud allegations. Recent military affirmations of loyalty and crackdowns on protests have reinforced Chavismo dominance, sidelining María Corina Machado (12%)—barred from office—and exiled challenger Edmundo González (1.1%). Economic hyperinflation, mass emigration, and renewed US sanctions under the incoming Trump administration amplify pressures on Maduro's 2025–2031 term, elevating VP Rodríguez as a continuity figure despite Diosdado Cabello's past successor hints. No pivotal shifts in the past week, but diplomatic tensions loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Лидер Венесуэлы в конце 2026 года?
Дельси Родригес 64%
Николас Мадуро 14.0%
Мария Корина Мачадо 12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,403,400 Объем
$77,403,400 Объем
Дельси Родригес
64%
Николас Мадуро
14%
Мария Корина Мачадо
12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Дельси Родригес 64%
Николас Мадуро 14.0%
Мария Корина Мачадо 12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес 1.1%
$77,403,400 Объем
$77,403,400 Объем
Дельси Родригес
64%
Николас Мадуро
14%
Мария Корина Мачадо
12%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
1%
Дональд Трамп
1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Динора Фигера
<1%
Марко Рубио
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Delcy Rodríguez at 63.5% to serve as Venezuela's head of state by end of 2026, signaling expectations of an internal PSUV transition from incumbent Nicolás Maduro (14%), whose January 10, 2025, inauguration capped the disputed July 2024 presidential vote amid opposition fraud allegations. Recent military affirmations of loyalty and crackdowns on protests have reinforced Chavismo dominance, sidelining María Corina Machado (12%)—barred from office—and exiled challenger Edmundo González (1.1%). Economic hyperinflation, mass emigration, and renewed US sanctions under the incoming Trump administration amplify pressures on Maduro's 2025–2031 term, elevating VP Rodríguez as a continuity figure despite Diosdado Cabello's past successor hints. No pivotal shifts in the past week, but diplomatic tensions loom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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