Market icon

Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

Market icon

Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

Ended: Feb 27

Mar 7

Ended: Feb 27

Mar 7

Вырос

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,043 Объем

Вырос

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,043 Объем

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 27, 2026, than on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,043
Дата окончания
Feb 27, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 20, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 27, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 27, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Вырос

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Вырос

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 27, 2026, than on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$10,043
Дата окончания
Feb 27, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 20, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 27, 2026, than on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 20, 2026, than on February 27, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Предложенный исход: Вырос

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Вырос

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Вырос." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?" has generated $10K in total trading volume. Bitcoin Up or Down markets attract active traders reacting to live price movements in real time — this level of activity helps ensure the current Up/Down odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live prices and place a trade directly on this page.

To trade on "Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 26 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 20. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Вырос." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 26 versus noon ET on February 20, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the February 26 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.