Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $75-85 million domestic opening for "Project Hail Mary," with 75-80m (42.5%) edging out 80-85m (41.5%), reflecting strong early tracking for Ryan Gosling's sci-fi blockbuster directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. This buzz stems from the recent teaser trailer's massive 15 million views and praise for its visual effects and humor, echoing the directors' "Spider-Verse" success, alongside Gosling's post-"Barbie" heat and the bestselling novel's built-in fanbase. However, the tight split underscores caution amid a competitive March 2026 frame potentially crowded with family tentpoles and holdovers, where pre-sale velocity and word-of-mouth will be key differentiators against historical comps like "The Martian's" inflation-adjusted $80m debut.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
Открытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
75–80 млн 43%
80–85 млн 42%
85-90 млн 8.1%
70-75 млн 6.7%
$514,939 Объем
$514,939 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
1%
70-75 млн
7%
75–80 млн
43%
80–85 млн
42%
85-90 млн
8%
>90 млн
1%
75–80 млн 43%
80–85 млн 42%
85-90 млн 8.1%
70-75 млн 6.7%
$514,939 Объем
$514,939 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
1%
70-75 млн
7%
75–80 млн
43%
80–85 млн
42%
85-90 млн
8%
>90 млн
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $75-85 million domestic opening for "Project Hail Mary," with 75-80m (42.5%) edging out 80-85m (41.5%), reflecting strong early tracking for Ryan Gosling's sci-fi blockbuster directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. This buzz stems from the recent teaser trailer's massive 15 million views and praise for its visual effects and humor, echoing the directors' "Spider-Verse" success, alongside Gosling's post-"Barbie" heat and the bestselling novel's built-in fanbase. However, the tight split underscores caution amid a competitive March 2026 frame potentially crowded with family tentpoles and holdovers, where pre-sale velocity and word-of-mouth will be key differentiators against historical comps like "The Martian's" inflation-adjusted $80m debut.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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