Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs the 80-90 million views range at 75% implied probability for MrBeast's next video's first-week performance, mirroring the YouTube star's consistent track record with recent challenge uploads. His November 2024 "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 82 million views in week one, while October's "I Built Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory!" reached 87 million, driven by his 320 million subscribers, algorithm-optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes spectacle format that fuels viral sharing. The 70-80 million bucket at 20.7% accounts for slight softening in growth amid YouTube's evolving recommendations and competition from creators like MrBeast Gaming, with 90 million-plus a longshot at 1.7% absent record-breaking hype. Watch for the next upload announcement, typically teased on X, as presale buzz and initial 24-hour velocity will signal trajectory before the week-one close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 75%
70-80M 22.4%
90M+ 1.4%
50-60M <1%
$889,956 Объем
$889,956 Объем
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
75%
90M+
1%
80-90M 75%
70-80M 22.4%
90M+ 1.4%
50-60M <1%
$889,956 Объем
$889,956 Объем
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
22%
80-90M
75%
90M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs the 80-90 million views range at 75% implied probability for MrBeast's next video's first-week performance, mirroring the YouTube star's consistent track record with recent challenge uploads. His November 2024 "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 82 million views in week one, while October's "I Built Willy Wonka's Chocolate Factory!" reached 87 million, driven by his 320 million subscribers, algorithm-optimized thumbnails, and high-stakes spectacle format that fuels viral sharing. The 70-80 million bucket at 20.7% accounts for slight softening in growth amid YouTube's evolving recommendations and competition from creators like MrBeast Gaming, with 90 million-plus a longshot at 1.7% absent record-breaking hype. Watch for the next upload announcement, typically teased on X, as presale buzz and initial 24-hour velocity will signal trajectory before the week-one close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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