Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 75.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 4 amid stable geopolitical conditions. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged despite ongoing diplomatic tensions, Iranian leadership remains unchanged following April de-escalations, and WTI crude oil hovers around $108 per barrel well below the $150 threshold. Russia shows no signs of invading a NATO country, with Ukraine conflict contained, while improbable US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmation lacks credible signals. May Day economic protests and the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident failed to meet criteria, bolstering odds as the month progresses without catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ничего
$28,668 Объем
$28,668 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Ничего
$28,668 Объем
$28,668 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 75.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 4 amid stable geopolitical conditions. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged despite ongoing diplomatic tensions, Iranian leadership remains unchanged following April de-escalations, and WTI crude oil hovers around $108 per barrel well below the $150 threshold. Russia shows no signs of invading a NATO country, with Ukraine conflict contained, while improbable US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmation lacks credible signals. May Day economic protests and the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident failed to meet criteria, bolstering odds as the month progresses without catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Объем
$28,668Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 75.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 4 amid stable geopolitical conditions. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged despite ongoing diplomatic tensions, Iranian leadership remains unchanged following April de-escalations, and WTI crude oil hovers around $108 per barrel well below the $150 threshold. Russia shows no signs of invading a NATO country, with Ukraine conflict contained, while improbable US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmation lacks credible signals. May Day economic protests and the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident failed to meet criteria, bolstering odds as the month progresses without catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Объем
$28,668Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 75.5% for the May market, reflecting the absence of any triggering events through May 4 amid stable geopolitical conditions. No US-Iran permanent peace deal has emerged despite ongoing diplomatic tensions, Iranian leadership remains unchanged following April de-escalations, and WTI crude oil hovers around $108 per barrel well below the $150 threshold. Russia shows no signs of invading a NATO country, with Ukraine conflict contained, while improbable US military action against Cuba or official alien confirmation lacks credible signals. May Day economic protests and the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident failed to meet criteria, bolstering odds as the month progresses without catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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