Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting industry insiders' February reports dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" and confirming zero casting progress amid Bond 26's early script phase under Denis Villeneuve, who's finishing Dune: Part Three. Callum Turner leads contenders at 17.5% after his odds doubled in early March, fueled by betting market buzz around his rising profile in Masters of the Air and fitting British pedigree, though he demurred on speculation at Berlin. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.5%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) stem from exaggerated tabloid links lacking verification, with mid-2026 casting eyed post-Dune as the key catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Следующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Бонд не выбран 71%
Кэллум Тернер 18%
Джейкоб Элорди 3.5%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%
$1,597,148 Объем
$1,597,148 Объем

Бонд не выбран
71%

Кэллум Тернер
18%

Джейкоб Элорди
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Генри Кавилл
2%

Пол Мескал
1%

Джеймс Нортон
1%

Харрис Диккинсон
1%

Джек Лоудон
1%

Джош О'Коннор
1%

Тео Джеймс
1%

Пирс Броснан
1%

Том Харди
<1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
Бонд не выбран 71%
Кэллум Тернер 18%
Джейкоб Элорди 3.5%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%
$1,597,148 Объем
$1,597,148 Объем

Бонд не выбран
71%

Кэллум Тернер
18%

Джейкоб Элорди
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Генри Кавилл
2%

Пол Мескал
1%

Джеймс Нортон
1%

Харрис Диккинсон
1%

Джек Лоудон
1%

Джош О'Коннор
1%

Тео Джеймс
1%

Пирс Броснан
1%

Том Харди
<1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting industry insiders' February reports dismissing big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" and confirming zero casting progress amid Bond 26's early script phase under Denis Villeneuve, who's finishing Dune: Part Three. Callum Turner leads contenders at 17.5% after his odds doubled in early March, fueled by betting market buzz around his rising profile in Masters of the Air and fitting British pedigree, though he demurred on speculation at Berlin. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.5%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) stem from exaggerated tabloid links lacking verification, with mid-2026 casting eyed post-Dune as the key catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы