Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled pre-production on Bond 26 amid producer Barbara Broccoli's emphasis on a fresh, younger talent without rushed casting—insiders dismissed big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February. Callum Turner holds second at 18.5% after his odds doubled on Polymarket in early March, fueled by Berlinale buzz and his rising profile in prestige films like Rosebush Pruning, though he dodged confirmation. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) track faded tabloid speculation and competing projects, with historical delays post-Daniel Craig signaling no imminent announcement before mid-2026 amid script work by Steven Knight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Следующий актер Джеймса Бонда?
Бонд не выбран 68%
Кэллум Тернер 19%
Джейкоб Элорди 3.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%
$1,595,918 Объем
$1,595,918 Объем

Бонд не выбран
68%

Кэллум Тернер
19%

Джейкоб Элорди
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Генри Кавилл
2%

Пол Мескал
2%

Джеймс Нортон
1%

Харрис Диккинсон
1%

Джек Лоудон
1%

Тео Джеймс
1%

Пирс Броснан
1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
Бонд не выбран 68%
Кэллум Тернер 19%
Джейкоб Элорди 3.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.8%
$1,595,918 Объем
$1,595,918 Объем

Бонд не выбран
68%

Кэллум Тернер
19%

Джейкоб Элорди
4%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Генри Кавилл
2%

Пол Мескал
2%

Джеймс Нортон
1%

Харрис Диккинсон
1%

Джек Лоудон
1%

Тео Джеймс
1%

Пирс Броснан
1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%

Том Харди
<1%

Том Холланд
<1%

Роберт Джеймс-Коллиер
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled pre-production on Bond 26 amid producer Barbara Broccoli's emphasis on a fresh, younger talent without rushed casting—insiders dismissed big-name rumors as "bullsh*t" in late February. Callum Turner holds second at 18.5% after his odds doubled on Polymarket in early March, fueled by Berlinale buzz and his rising profile in prestige films like Rosebush Pruning, though he dodged confirmation. Lower probabilities for Jacob Elordi (3.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.8%) track faded tabloid speculation and competing projects, with historical delays post-Daniel Craig signaling no imminent announcement before mid-2026 amid script work by Steven Knight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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