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Геополитика·Иран

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Market icon
Геополитика·Иран

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

Mar 23

Mar 29

Mar 23

Mar 29

15-19 55.9%

20-24 37.4%

25-29 3.8%

10-14 <1%

Polymarket

$391,136 Объем

15-19 55.9%

20-24 37.4%

25-29 3.8%

10-14 <1%

Polymarket

$391,136 Объем

<10

$52,330 Объем

<1%

10-14

$35,715 Объем

1%

15-19

$42,344 Объем

56%

20-24

$35,943 Объем

37%

25-29

$24,197 Объем

4%

30-34

$21,953 Объем

1%

35-39

$32,445 Объем

<1%

40-44

$47,987 Объем

<1%

45+

$98,221 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 17, 2026, through March 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 23, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices 15-19 ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz at 54% for March 17-23, reflecting a near-total collapse in commercial vessel traffic amid the ongoing Iran conflict that erupted late February 2026. Maritime trackers like Windward reported just 16 AIS-visible crossings in the prior week ending March 22, down over 90% from normal levels of 800-1,000 weekly, as U.S. and Israeli military strikes prompted Iran to impose a partial blockade, trap hundreds of vessels in the Persian Gulf, and grant selective passage to non-hostile ships. Recent developments include Iran's March 19 proposal for transit fees and data showing a slight uptick to nine transits over March 16-17, yet volumes remained critically low; official resolution awaits confirmed counts from sources like MarineTraffic or Lloyd's List Intelligence.

Trader consensus prices 15-19 ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz at 54% for March 17-23, reflecting a near-total collapse in commercial vessel traffic amid the ongoing Iran conflict that erupted late February 2026. Maritime trackers like Windward reported just 16 AIS-visible crossings in the prior week ending March 22, down over 90% from normal levels of 800-1,000 weekly, as U.S. and Israeli military strikes prompted Iran to impose a partial blockade, trap hundreds of vessels in the Persian Gulf, and grant selective passage to non-hostile ships. Recent developments include Iran's March 19 proposal for transit fees and data showing a slight uptick to nine transits over March 16-17, yet volumes remained critically low; official resolution awaits confirmed counts from sources like MarineTraffic or Lloyd's List Intelligence.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 17, 2026, through March 23, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 23, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices 15-19 ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz at 54% for March 17-23, reflecting a near-total collapse in commercial vessel traffic amid the ongoing Iran conflict that erupted late February 2026. Maritime trackers like Windward reported just 16 AIS-visible crossings in the prior week ending March 22, down over 90% from normal levels of 800-1,000 weekly, as U.S. and Israeli military strikes prompted Iran to impose a partial blockade, trap hundreds of vessels in the Persian Gulf, and grant selective passage to non-hostile ships. Recent developments include Iran's March 19 proposal for transit fees and data showing a slight uptick to nine transits over March 16-17, yet volumes remained critically low; official resolution awaits confirmed counts from sources like MarineTraffic or Lloyd's List Intelligence.

Trader consensus prices 15-19 ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz at 54% for March 17-23, reflecting a near-total collapse in commercial vessel traffic amid the ongoing Iran conflict that erupted late February 2026. Maritime trackers like Windward reported just 16 AIS-visible crossings in the prior week ending March 22, down over 90% from normal levels of 800-1,000 weekly, as U.S. and Israeli military strikes prompted Iran to impose a partial blockade, trap hundreds of vessels in the Persian Gulf, and grant selective passage to non-hostile ships. Recent developments include Iran's March 19 proposal for transit fees and data showing a slight uptick to nine transits over March 16-17, yet volumes remained critically low; official resolution awaits confirmed counts from sources like MarineTraffic or Lloyd's List Intelligence.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15-19» с 56%, за ним следует «20-24» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 56¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $391.1K с момента запуска рынка Mar 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)» — «15-19» с 56%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Следующий ближайший исход — «20-24» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.