The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.31% as of April 2, 2026—down slightly from 4.33% the prior session—anchored by February CPI inflation at a stable 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's March dot plot forecasting fed funds rates easing gradually to 3.00-3.25% by end-2027 amid resilient labor markets and growth. Fed funds futures price a flat path around 3.6% through year-end, implying persistent term premiums that curb sharp yield declines despite policy easing expectations. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran conflicts, have introduced volatility, capping recent dips. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and mid-April March CPI for signals on disinflation trajectory and rate cut pacing, critical to the yield's potential lows before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$180,410 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
3,9%
65%
3,8%
49%
3,7%
24%
3,6%
28%
3,5%
19%
3,0%
12%
2,0%
9%
1,0%
6%
$180,410 Объем
3,9%
$28,116 Объем
65%
3,8%
$26,251 Объем
49%
3,7%
$20,675 Объем
24%
3,6%
$4,645 Объем
28%
3,5%
$29,841 Объем
19%
3,0%
$0 Объем
12%
2,0%
$214 Объем
9%
1,0%
$38,910 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.31% as of April 2, 2026—down slightly from 4.33% the prior session—anchored by February CPI inflation at a stable 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's March dot plot forecasting fed funds rates easing gradually to 3.00-3.25% by end-2027 amid resilient labor markets and growth. Fed funds futures price a flat path around 3.6% through year-end, implying persistent term premiums that curb sharp yield declines despite policy easing expectations. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran conflicts, have introduced volatility, capping recent dips. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and mid-April March CPI for signals on disinflation trajectory and rate cut pacing, critical to the yield's potential lows before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Объем
$180,410Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.31% as of April 2, 2026—down slightly from 4.33% the prior session—anchored by February CPI inflation at a stable 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's March dot plot forecasting fed funds rates easing gradually to 3.00-3.25% by end-2027 amid resilient labor markets and growth. Fed funds futures price a flat path around 3.6% through year-end, implying persistent term premiums that curb sharp yield declines despite policy easing expectations. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran conflicts, have introduced volatility, capping recent dips. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and mid-April March CPI for signals on disinflation trajectory and rate cut pacing, critical to the yield's potential lows before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Объем
$180,410Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.31% as of April 2, 2026—down slightly from 4.33% the prior session—anchored by February CPI inflation at a stable 2.4% year-over-year and the Federal Reserve's March dot plot forecasting fed funds rates easing gradually to 3.00-3.25% by end-2027 amid resilient labor markets and growth. Fed funds futures price a flat path around 3.6% through year-end, implying persistent term premiums that curb sharp yield declines despite policy easing expectations. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran conflicts, have introduced volatility, capping recent dips. Traders eye the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and mid-April March CPI for signals on disinflation trajectory and rate cut pacing, critical to the yield's potential lows before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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