Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,084 Объем
$71,084 Объем
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,084 Объем
$71,084 Объем
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for 14°C as Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, 2026, backed by official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport station, where the peak reading hit 14°C amid northerly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with IMGW synoptic forecasts predicting 13°C locally, influenced by a cool air mass over central Europe and typical early-April climatology, with historical highs averaging 12–14°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and 10–15 km/h gusts. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a post-hoc data audit revealing an overlooked higher reading could shift it, though multi-station verification confirms the measurement. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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