Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment Canada’s latest forecast—issued late April 17—projecting a high of 19°C in Toronto today amid cloudy conditions, morning fog patches, and showers with afternoon thunderstorm risk, delivering 10-15 mm of rain via an incoming cold front. However, persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF models converging on mid-to-upper teens (16-18°C), explaining the tight race among these outcomes at 38.8%, 31.5%, and 21.0% implied probabilities. Urban heat island effects near Lake Ontario could nudge toward 18°C if breaks occur midday, while widespread showers favor 16°C; official observations from Toronto Pearson Airport (YYZ) will resolve as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
16°C 38.8%
17°C 32%
18°C 20%
19°C 7%
$56,476 Объем
$56,476 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
32%
18°C
20%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 38.8%
17°C 32%
18°C 20%
19°C 7%
$56,476 Объем
$56,476 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$8,915 Объем
<1%
12°C
$3,781 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,861 Объем
<1%
14°C
$4,323 Объем
1%
15°C
$4,527 Объем
3%
16°C
$5,871 Объем
39%
17°C
$4,721 Объем
32%
18°C
$4,676 Объем
20%
19°C
$4,063 Объем
7%
20°C
$5,649 Объем
3%
21°C or higher
$7,394 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment Canada’s latest forecast—issued late April 17—projecting a high of 19°C in Toronto today amid cloudy conditions, morning fog patches, and showers with afternoon thunderstorm risk, delivering 10-15 mm of rain via an incoming cold front. However, persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF models converging on mid-to-upper teens (16-18°C), explaining the tight race among these outcomes at 38.8%, 31.5%, and 21.0% implied probabilities. Urban heat island effects near Lake Ontario could nudge toward 18°C if breaks occur midday, while widespread showers favor 16°C; official observations from Toronto Pearson Airport (YYZ) will resolve as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Объем
$56,476Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment Canada’s latest forecast—issued late April 17—projecting a high of 19°C in Toronto today amid cloudy conditions, morning fog patches, and showers with afternoon thunderstorm risk, delivering 10-15 mm of rain via an incoming cold front. However, persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF models converging on mid-to-upper teens (16-18°C), explaining the tight race among these outcomes at 38.8%, 31.5%, and 21.0% implied probabilities. Urban heat island effects near Lake Ontario could nudge toward 18°C if breaks occur midday, while widespread showers favor 16°C; official observations from Toronto Pearson Airport (YYZ) will resolve as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$56,476Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment Canada’s latest forecast—issued late April 17—projecting a high of 19°C in Toronto today amid cloudy conditions, morning fog patches, and showers with afternoon thunderstorm risk, delivering 10-15 mm of rain via an incoming cold front. However, persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF models converging on mid-to-upper teens (16-18°C), explaining the tight race among these outcomes at 38.8%, 31.5%, and 21.0% implied probabilities. Urban heat island effects near Lake Ontario could nudge toward 18°C if breaks occur midday, while widespread showers favor 16°C; official observations from Toronto Pearson Airport (YYZ) will resolve as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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